Sport Picks

Stadium Background

South Korea U23 vs Indonesia U23

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Hwang Do-Yun

AI Match Summary

South Korea U23 in this AFC Asian Cup U23 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored South Korea U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
South Korea U23
44%
Draws
20%
Indonesia U23
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Indonesia U23 haven't matched South Korea U23's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Cup games in AFC Asian Cup U23 usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors South Korea U23 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
South Korea U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Indonesia U23 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Korea U23 Indonesia U23
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U23
South Korea U23 vs Indonesia U23
1:0
Apr 25, 2024 AFC Asian Cup U23
South Korea U23 vs Indonesia U23
2:3
Mar 31, 2015 AFC Asian Cup U23
South Korea U23 vs Indonesia U23
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Korea U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hwang Do-Yun
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Indonesia U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Korea U23 36 / 100
Indonesia U23 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Korea U23 Indonesia U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

South Korea U23 found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Indonesia U23 has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

South Korea U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Korea U23 VS Indonesia U23
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 33%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
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2Turkmenistan U2332018:36
3Bhutan U2331023:143
4Chinese Taipei U2330032:140
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Japan U23330011:29
2Kuwait U2331112:64
3Afghanistan U2331022:53
4Myanmar U2330122:41
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vietnam U2333004:09
2Yemen U2332013:26
3Bangladesh U2331024:43
4Singapore U2330032:70
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Australia U23321020:07
2China U23321012:17
3Timor-Leste U2331027:83
4Northern Mariana Islands U2330030:300
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kyrgyzstan U23321010:37
2Uzbekistan U2332108:37
3Palestine U2331027:43
4Sri Lanka U2330030:150
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Thailand U23321010:37
2Lebanon U2332106:27
3Malaysia U2331028:33
4Mongolia U2330030:160
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iraq U2332109:17
2Cambodia U2331201:05
3Oman U2331111:14
4Pakistan U2330031:100
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Qatar U23330017:29
2India U2332019:26
3Bahrain U23310211:43
4Brunei U2330030:290
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iran U23330013:29
2United Arab Emirates U23320117:36
3Hong Kong U2331021:63
4Guam U2330030:200
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Korea U23330013:09
2Indonesia U2331115:14
3Laos U2331113:84
4Macau U2330031:130
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Syria U2333007:39
2Philippines U2332016:26
3Tajikistan U2331024:23
4Nepal U2330032:120