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South Korea vs Bolivia

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Friendly International 2025 Daejeon World Cup Stadium
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AI Match Summary

South Korea play Bolivia in the Friendly International 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, South Korea averaged 1.84 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. Bolivia averaged 0.77 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. In past meetings, South Korea won 2, Bolivia won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Nov 14, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for South Korea and 0.75 for Bolivia. This points to a South Korea double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
South Korea
25%
Draws
20%
Bolivia
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: South Korea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • South Korea picked up more points recently compared to Bolivia.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 0.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
South Korea Clean Sheet 27%
Bolivia Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Korea Bolivia
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 8
Draws 6 3
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 1.84 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.77 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2025 Friendly International
South Korea vs Bolivia
2:0
Mar 22, 2019 Friendly International
South Korea vs Bolivia
1:0
Jun 7, 2018 Friendly International
South Korea vs Bolivia
0:0
Jun 24, 1994 World Championship
South Korea vs Bolivia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Korea Compare

Top Goalscorer Son Heung-Min
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cho Gue-Sung
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Bolivia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Korea 55 / 100
Bolivia 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Korea Bolivia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Korea Win (1)
Secondary Pick South Korea & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

South Korea attacking → ← attacking Bolivia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Korea scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Bolivia let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.75 goals.

South Korea went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bolivia lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

63 Points in last 5 27
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63