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South Korea vs Uruguay - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Seoul World Cup Stadium, Seoul
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Nunez D.
Assist: de Arrascaeta G.
22'
Araujo R.
27' Event
de Arrascaeta G.
Assist: Araujo M.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between South Korea and Uruguay finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uruguay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
South Korea
20%
Draws
40%
Uruguay
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and South Korea come out ahead of Uruguay on wins alone.
  • Model gives Uruguay a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
South Korea Clean Sheet 21%
Uruguay Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Korea Uruguay
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 11
Draws 6 12
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.6 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2026 Friendly International
South Korea vs Uruguay
1:4
Mar 28, 2023 Friendly International
South Korea vs Uruguay
1:2
Nov 24, 2022 World Championship
Uruguay vs South Korea
0:0
Oct 12, 2018 Friendly International
South Korea vs Uruguay
2:1
Sep 8, 2014 Friendly International
South Korea vs Uruguay
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Korea Compare

Top Goalscorer Son Heung-Min
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Uruguay Compare

Top Goalscorer Nunez D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader de Arrascaeta G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Korea 29 / 100
Uruguay 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Korea Uruguay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uruguay Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Korea found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

South Korea has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Uruguay's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

South Korea VS Uruguay
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

South Korea

(Home)
06 Oct
South Korea
2 : 0
Uzbekistan
02 Oct
South Korea
0 : 0
Venezuela
28 Sept
South Korea
1 : 4
Uruguay
24 Sept
South Korea
3 : 0
Ecuador
25 Jun
South Africa
1 : 0
South Korea
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Uruguay

(Away)
06 Oct
India
1 : 6
Uruguay
28 Sept
South Korea
1 : 4
Uruguay
24 Sept
Japan
3 : 1
Uruguay
27 Jun
Uruguay
0 : 1
Spain
21 Jun
Uruguay
2 : 2
Cape Verde
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