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South Korea vs Uzbekistan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Yongin Mireu Stadium, Yongin
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Son Heung-Min
46'
Sub
Ganiev A. In: Esanov S.
Out: Ganiev A.
46'
Sub
Khamdamov D. In: Amonov A.
Out: Khamdamov D.

AI Match Summary

South Korea in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored South Korea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
South Korea
15%
Draws
39%
Uzbekistan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South Korea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • South Korea have won more games recently than Uzbekistan.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on South Korea taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
South Korea Clean Sheet 20%
Uzbekistan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Korea Uzbekistan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.6 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 Friendly International
South Korea vs Uzbekistan
2:0
Nov 20, 2018 Friendly International
Uzbekistan vs South Korea
0:4
Sep 5, 2017 World Championship
Uzbekistan vs South Korea
0:0
Nov 15, 2016 World Championship
South Korea vs Uzbekistan
2:1
Mar 27, 2015 Friendly International
South Korea vs Uzbekistan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Korea Compare

Top Goalscorer Son Heung-Min
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oh Se-Hun
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Uzbekistan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Korea 76 / 100
Uzbekistan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Korea Uzbekistan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Korea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Korea found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

South Korea has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Uzbekistan's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

South Korea VS Uzbekistan
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

South Korea

(Home)
06 Oct
South Korea
2 : 0
Uzbekistan
02 Oct
South Korea
0 : 0
Venezuela
28 Sept
South Korea
1 : 4
Uruguay
24 Sept
South Korea
3 : 0
Ecuador
25 Jun
South Africa
1 : 0
South Korea
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Uzbekistan

(Away)
06 Oct
South Korea
2 : 0
Uzbekistan
01 Oct
Uzbekistan
4 : 1
Syria
24 Sept
Uzbekistan
3 : 1
Iran
27 Jun
D.R. Congo
3 : 1
Uzbekistan
23 Jun
Portugal
5 : 0
Uzbekistan
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