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South Korea W vs Zambia W

World World

Friendly International Women Arena Pantanal
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Banda B.
(Penalty)
43'
Sub
Song J. In: Jung Min-Young
Out: Song J.
43'
Sub
Jo Min-Ah In: Choo Hyo-Joo
Out: Jo Min-Ah

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women game between South Korea W and Zambia W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
South Korea W
6%
Draws
4%
Zambia W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: South Korea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Zambia W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on South Korea W taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors South Korea W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
South Korea W Clean Sheet 14%
Zambia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Korea W Zambia W
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 12 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 2.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 2 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Friendly International Women
South Korea W vs Zambia W
1:1
Apr 11, 2023 Friendly International Women
South Korea W vs Zambia W
5:0
Apr 7, 2023 Friendly International Women
South Korea W vs Zambia W
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Korea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Casey Phair
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Zambia W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Korea W 84 / 100
Zambia W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Korea W Zambia W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Attacking prowess: South Korea W scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Zambia W conceded in 73% of 26 recent games.

South Korea W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Korea W VS Zambia W
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%