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South Melbourne W vs Heidelberg Utd W

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NPL Victoria Women game between South Melbourne W and Heidelberg Utd W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward South Melbourne W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
South Melbourne W
6%
Draws
4%
Heidelberg Utd W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: South Melbourne W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • South Melbourne W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on South Melbourne W taking it.
  • Regular NPL Victoria Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
South Melbourne W Clean Sheet 20%
Heidelberg Utd W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Melbourne W Heidelberg Utd W
Matches Played 22 22
Wins 11 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
South Melbourne W vs Heidelberg Utd W
2:1
Feb 28, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
Heidelberg Utd W vs South Melbourne W
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Melbourne W 85 / 100
Heidelberg Utd W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Melbourne W Heidelberg Utd W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Melbourne W scored in 82% of their last 22 games.

Defensive concern: Heidelberg Utd W conceded in 95% of 22 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: South Melbourne W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Melbourne W VS Heidelberg Utd W
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

South Melbourne W

(Home)
25 Jul
South Melbourne W
1 : 2
Bulleen Lions W
18 Jul
Alamein FC W
1 : 1
South Melbourne W
11 Jul
South Melbourne W
1 : 0
Spring Hills W
05 Jul
Boroondara Eagles W
1 : 0
South Melbourne W
27 Jun
South Melbourne W
2 : 2
Box Hill W
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Heidelberg Utd W

(Away)
25 Jul
Heidelberg Utd W
0 : 4
Avondale FC W
18 Jul
Bulleen Lions W
1 : 1
Heidelberg Utd W
11 Jul
Heidelberg Utd W
1 : 2
Alamein FC W
03 Jul
Spring Hills W
1 : 0
Heidelberg Utd W
27 Jun
Heidelberg Utd W
1 : 3
Boroondara Eagles W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Box Hill W22162459:2450
2Essendon Royals W22152563:2447
3Bulleen Lions W22144453:2146
4Avondale FC W22142655:2244
5Boroondara Eagles W22131847:3440
6South Melbourne W22116543:2239
7Alamein FC W22113828:2436
8Spring Hills W22821226:3226
9Melbourne Victory U20 W21821135:4626
10Heidelberg Utd W22651132:4423
11Preston Lions W22651126:4123
12Keilor Park W22651122:3823
13Bentleigh Greens W22221817:748
14Melbourne City U20 W21211820:807
Promotion - NPL Victoria Women (Play Offs)