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Stadium Background

South Park vs Leighton Town

England England

FA Trophy 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Bartlett L.
77' Event
Brown A.
88' Event
Healy R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

South Park host Leighton Town in the FA Trophy 2023/2024. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: South Park at 1.63 goals for, 0.75 against; Leighton Town at 1.75 for, 1.13 against. Head-to-head, South Park have won 1 to Leighton Town's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 28, 2023, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.25, favoring South Park. South Park in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
South Park
33%
Draws
27%
Leighton Town
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: South Park

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Leighton Town demonstrates higher offensive output (1.75 avg goals) than South Park (1.63 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for South Park.
  • Cup tournament structure in FA Trophy 2023/2024 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
South Park Clean Sheet 19%
Leighton Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Park Leighton Town
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 2
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2023 FA Trophy
South Park vs Leighton Town
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Park Compare

Top Goalscorer Brown A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Leighton Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Bartlett L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Park 40 / 100
Leighton Town 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Park Leighton Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Park scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Leighton Town let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

South Park went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Leighton Town lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Park VS Leighton Town
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Hereford-
TBD-
Haringey Borough1
Redbridge2
Bognor Regis3
Gosport Borough0
South Park2
Leighton Town1
Frome Town1
Cribbs0
TBD-
Worthing FC-
Torquay-
TBD-
TBD-
Yeovil-
Rochdale-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Gateshead-
Weston-super-Mare-
TBD-
Cray Wanderers4
Chesham3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Woking-
Poole Town2
Bracknell Town3
Larkhall1
Horsham FC2
AFC Totton2
Merthyr Town1
TBD-
Havant & Waterlooville-
Dagenham & Red.-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Potters0
Leiston1
TBD-
Peterborough Sports-
Kidderminster-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Stourbridge5
Bamber Bridge1
TBD-
King’s Lynn-
Halifax-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Altrincham-
Buxton-
TBD-
City Of Liverpool1
Stamford0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hartlepool-
Southend-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chatham0
Cray Valley2
TBD-
Hampton & Richmond-
Curzon Ashton-
TBD-
North Ferriby FC0
Matlock3
Alfreton-
TBD-
Macclesfield4
Halesowen1
Dorking Wanderers-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Maidenhead-
Ebbsfleet-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Stortford-
TBD-
TBD-
St. Albans-
Eastleigh-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Aldershot-
Bath City-
TBD-
Harrow Borough1
Beaconsfield Town2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Boreham Wood-
Hemel Hempstead-
TBD-
Walsall Wood2
Guiseley1
Alvechurch0
Coalville Town1
TBD-
Boston United-
Bromley-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Slough Town-
TBD-
TBD-
Farnborough-
Chippenham Town-
TBD-
Swindon Supermarine0
Basingstoke3
Gloucester City-
TBD-
TBD-
Braintree-
Aveley-
TBD-
St Ives Town3
Marine1
Westfield1
Hungerford3
TBD-
Truro-
Banbury-
TBD-
Nuneaton2
Hyde0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
AFC Fylde-
Welling-
TBD-
TBD-
Taunton Town-
Stafford5
Quorn3
TBD-
Brackley-
Chesterfield-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Southport-
TBD-
TBD-
South Shields-
Farsley-
TBD-
United of Manchester2
Radcliffe3
Redditch3
Ashton United0
TBD-
Rushall-
Barnet-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dartford-
TBD-
TBD-
Maidstone-
Oxford City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Harborough1
Avro0
TBD-
Chelmsford-
Wealdstone-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Billericay5
Bury Town0
TBD-
Tamworth-
Oldham-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Spennymoor-
TBD-
Worksop0
Mickleover5
Hendon2
Walton & Hersham1
TBD-
Eastbourne Borough-
Dover Ath.-
TBD-
TBD-
Weymouth-
Hythe3
Ramsgate1
TBD-
Tonbridge-
Kingstonian0
Whitehawk4
Dulwich Hamlet0
Lewes2
Chorley-
TBD-
TBD-
Scarborough Athletic-
Warrington Town-
TBD-
TBD-
Blyth Spartans-
Scunthorpe-
TBD-
TBD-
Darlington FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Solihull Moors-
Nantwich1
Stratford0
TBD-
Chester-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
York City-
1/64-finals
Hereford4
Redbridge1
Bognor Regis1
South Park4
Frome Town3
Worthing FC2
Torquay2
Yeovil1
Rochdale-
TBD-
TBD-
Gateshead-
Weston-super-Mare4
Cray Wanderers1
TBD-
Woking-
Bracknell Town0
Horsham FC3
AFC Totton2
Havant & Waterlooville1
Dagenham & Red.-
TBD-
Leiston1
Peterborough Sports4
Kidderminster-
TBD-
Stourbridge2
King’s Lynn1
Halifax-
TBD-
TBD-
Altrincham-
Buxton1
City Of Liverpool3
TBD-
Hartlepool-
Southend-
TBD-
Cray Valley1
Hampton & Richmond5
Curzon Ashton2
Matlock0
Alfreton2
Macclesfield4
Dorking Wanderers-
TBD-
TBD-
Maidenhead-
Ebbsfleet-
TBD-
Stortford3
St. Albans1
Eastleigh-
TBD-
TBD-
Aldershot-
Bath City1
Beaconsfield Town0
TBD-
Boreham Wood-
Hemel Hempstead1
Walsall Wood2
Coalville Town2
Boston United1
Bromley-
TBD-
Slough Town2
Farnborough1
Chippenham Town2
Basingstoke1
Gloucester City3
Braintree0
Aveley2
St Ives Town1
Hungerford2
Truro0
Banbury2
Nuneaton4
TBD-
AFC Fylde-
Welling3
Taunton Town2
Stafford0
Brackley1
Chesterfield-
TBD-
Southport4
South Shields0
Farsley2
Radcliffe4
Redditch2
Rushall1
Barnet-
TBD-
Dartford0
Maidstone1
Oxford City-
TBD-
Harborough0
Chelmsford2
Wealdstone-
TBD-
Billericay3
Tamworth1
Oldham-
TBD-
Spennymoor1
Mickleover3
Hendon2
Eastbourne Borough0
Dover Ath.4
Weymouth5
Hythe1
Tonbridge0
Whitehawk3
Lewes1
Chorley1
Scarborough Athletic0
Warrington Town1
Blyth Spartans3
Scunthorpe2
Darlington FC0
TBD-
Solihull Moors-
Nantwich1
Chester0
TBD-
York City-
1/32-finals
Hereford1
South Park0
Frome Town1
Torquay4
Rochdale1
Gateshead5
Weston-super-Mare3
Woking2
Horsham FC2
AFC Totton0
Dagenham & Red.1
Peterborough Sports2
Kidderminster4
Stourbridge1
Halifax0
Altrincham1
City Of Liverpool1
Hartlepool5
Southend2
Hampton & Richmond3
Curzon Ashton0
Macclesfield2
Dorking Wanderers3
Maidenhead0
Ebbsfleet1
Stortford2
Eastleigh2
Aldershot3
Bath City1
Boreham Wood0
Walsall Wood0
Coalville Town2
Bromley1
Slough Town0
Chippenham Town5
Gloucester City3
Aveley2
Hungerford1
Nuneaton2
AFC Fylde3
Welling2
Brackley1
Chesterfield6
Southport1
Radcliffe4
Redditch0
Barnet4
Maidstone0
Oxford City0
Chelmsford1
Wealdstone4
Billericay1
Oldham4
Mickleover3
Hendon2
Weymouth0
Hythe3
Whitehawk2
Chorley2
Blyth Spartans0
Scunthorpe0
Solihull Moors2
Nantwich3
York City2
1/16-finals
Hereford2
Torquay0
Gateshead3
Weston-super-Mare2
Horsham FC0
Peterborough Sports3
Kidderminster1
Altrincham0
Hartlepool0
Hampton & Richmond1
Macclesfield5
Dorking Wanderers0
Stortford6
Aldershot1
Bath City0
Coalville Town1
Bromley2
Chippenham Town1
Aveley1
AFC Fylde0
Welling2
Chesterfield0
Radcliffe1
Barnet2
Chelmsford0
Wealdstone1
Oldham1
Hendon2
Hythe1
Chorley2
Solihull Moors5
Nantwich1
1/8-finals
Hereford0
Gateshead1
Peterborough Sports1
Kidderminster0
Hampton & Richmond0
Macclesfield2
Stortford0
Coalville Town3
Bromley2
Aveley0
Welling0
Barnet3
Wealdstone4
Hendon0
Chorley1
Solihull Moors3
Quarter-finals
Gateshead3
Peterborough Sports2
Macclesfield3
Coalville Town0
Bromley2
Barnet0
Wealdstone1
Solihull Moors2
Semi-finals
Gateshead2
Macclesfield1
Bromley1
Solihull Moors2
Final
Gateshead3
Solihull Moors2