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South Shields vs Buxton Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

National League North Wolf Competitions Stadium, South Shields
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Match Events

24' Event
Scott C.
43' Event
Blackett P.
59' Event
McGurk S.

AI Match Summary

South Shields in this National League North matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored South Shields.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
South Shields
15%
Draws
42%
Buxton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South Shields

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • South Shields haven't matched Buxton's recent run of results.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on South Shields taking it.
  • Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
South Shields Clean Sheet 14%
Buxton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Shields Buxton
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 20
Draws 7 2
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.9 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 FA Cup
Buxton vs South Shields
0:2
Sep 26, 2026 National League North
South Shields vs Buxton
4:0
May 2, 2026 National League North
South Shields vs Buxton
1:0
Jan 3, 2026 National League North
Buxton vs South Shields
1:1
Aug 30, 2025 National League North
South Shields vs Buxton
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Shields Compare

Top Goalscorer Scott C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Blackett P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Buxton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Shields 66 / 100
Buxton 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Shields Buxton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Shields Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Shields found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Buxton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: South Shields stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Shields VS Buxton
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

South Shields

(Home)
29 Sept
Brackley
3 : 2
South Shields
26 Sept
South Shields
4 : 0
Buxton
19 Sept
South Shields
7 : 0
Witton Albion
12 Sept
Hereford
6 : 0
South Shields
08 Sept
South Shields
2 : 1
Marine
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Buxton

(Away)
26 Sept
South Shields
4 : 0
Buxton
19 Sept
Buxton
1 : 0
Ashton United
12 Sept
Buxton
3 : 1
Chester
08 Sept
Buxton
5 : 0
Brackley
05 Sept
Morecambe
4 : 0
Buxton
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 10 7 2 1 22:5 23
2 Macclesfield 10 6 3 1 13:6 21
3 Oxford City 10 6 2 2 18:7 20
4 South Shields 10 6 2 2 15:13 20
5 Hebburn Town 10 5 3 2 16:16 18
6 Spalding United 10 5 2 3 14:8 17
7 Chester 10 5 2 3 13:9 17
8 King’s Lynn 10 5 1 4 20:15 16
9 Buxton 10 5 1 4 18:18 16
10 Bedford 10 5 1 4 14:14 16
11 Morecambe 10 4 2 4 14:9 14
12 Chorley 10 4 2 4 16:17 14
13 Merthyr Town 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
14 Scarborough Athletic 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
15 Hednesford 10 3 3 4 17:17 12
16 Marine 10 4 0 6 12:12 12
17 Harborough 10 3 3 4 10:12 12
18 Worksop 10 4 0 6 10:16 12
19 Brackley 10 3 3 4 11:19 12
20 Southport 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
21 Telford 10 2 3 5 8:15 9
22 Darlington FC 10 2 1 7 12:21 7
23 Spennymoor 10 1 4 5 11:21 7
24 Radcliffe 10 2 0 8 9:20 6
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