Sport Picks
South Shields vs Merthyr Town
England
National League North Wolf Competitions Stadium, South Shields 
Match Events
47'
47'
Sykes C.
66'
66'
Tinkler R.
66'
66'
Tinkler R.
AI Match Summary
The National League North game between South Shields and Merthyr Town finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
56%
20%
24%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: South Shields
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Merthyr Town haven't matched South Shields's recent run of results.
- 56% — that's where the model lands on South Shields taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
South Shields Clean Sheet 20%
Merthyr Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | South Shields | Merthyr Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 National League North
South Shields vs Merthyr Town
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 National League North
South Shields vs Merthyr Town
4:1
Nov 11, 2025 National League North
Merthyr Town vs South Shields
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
South Shields Compare
Top Goalscorer Sykes C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Merthyr Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Margetson B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
South Shields 85 / 100
Merthyr Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
South Shields Merthyr Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick South Shields Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
South Shields scored in 82% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: Merthyr Town conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.
South Shields went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
South Shields VS Merthyr Town
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
South Shields
(Home) 26 Sept
South Shields
4 : 0 Buxton
19 Sept
South Shields
7 : 0 Witton Albion
12 Sept
Hereford
6 : 0 South Shields
08 Sept
South Shields
2 : 1 Marine
05 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1 South Shields
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
South Shields
4 : 0 Buxton
19 Sept
South Shields
7 : 0 Witton Albion
08 Sept
South Shields
2 : 1 Marine
31 Aug
South Shields
1 : 1 Spalding United
22 Aug
South Shields
1 : 1 Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 4
Merthyr Town
(Away) 26 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 2 Marine
22 Sept
Truro
2 : 0 Merthyr Town
19 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 Truro
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0 Merthyr Town
08 Sept
Chester
0 : 1 Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Truro
2 : 0 Merthyr Town
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0 Merthyr Town
08 Sept
Chester
0 : 1 Merthyr Town
31 Aug
Buxton
2 : 1 Merthyr Town
22 Aug
South Shields
1 : 1 Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 23 |
| 2 | Macclesfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:7 | 20 |
| 4 | South Shields | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13:10 | 20 |
| 5 | Hebburn Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:16 | 18 |
| 6 | Spalding United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Chester | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 8 | King’s Lynn | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 9 | Buxton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Bedford | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 16 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 12 | Chorley | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Merthyr Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 14 | Scarborough Athletic | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 15 | Hednesford | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 12 |
| 16 | Marine | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 17 | Harborough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 18 | Worksop | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10:16 | 12 |
| 19 | Southport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 20 | Telford | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | 9 |
| 21 | Brackley | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 22 | Darlington FC | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:21 | 7 |
| 23 | Spennymoor | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 24 | Radcliffe | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9:20 | 6 |
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