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South Shields vs Spalding United

England England

National League North Mariners Park, South Shields
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Match Events

48' Event
Marshall J.
85' Event
Sano Sani A. M.

AI Match Summary

The National League North game between South Shields and Spalding United finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
South Shields
30%
Draws
43%
Spalding United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spalding United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • South Shields haven't matched Spalding United's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
South Shields Clean Sheet 20%
Spalding United Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Shields Spalding United
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 16
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.68 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 National League North
South Shields vs Spalding United
1:1
Oct 11, 2025 FA Cup
South Shields vs Spalding United
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Shields Compare

Top Goalscorer Marshall J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Spalding United Compare

Top Goalscorer Sano Sani A. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Shields 31 / 100
Spalding United 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Shields Spalding United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Shields Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: South Shields scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Spalding United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

South Shields went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Shields VS Spalding United
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

South Shields

(Home)
12 Sept
Hereford
6 : 0
South Shields
08 Sept
South Shields
2 : 1
Marine
05 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1
South Shields
31 Aug
South Shields
1 : 1
Spalding United
22 Aug
South Shields
1 : 1
Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 6

Spalding United

(Away)
12 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 1
Bedford
08 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 3
Spalding United
05 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 0
Southport
31 Aug
South Shields
1 : 1
Spalding United
29 Aug
Spalding United
3 : 1
Worksop
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 9 7 1 1 21:4 22
2 Oxford City 9 6 1 2 17:6 19
3 Macclesfield 9 5 3 1 12:6 18
4 Spalding United 9 5 2 2 13:6 17
5 Hebburn Town 9 5 2 2 15:15 17
6 South Shields 8 5 2 1 9:10 17
7 Buxton 9 5 1 3 18:14 16
8 Bedford 9 5 0 4 13:13 15
9 Chester 9 4 2 3 9:8 14
10 Morecambe 9 4 1 4 13:8 13
11 Merthyr Town 9 3 4 2 11:9 13
12 King’s Lynn 9 4 1 4 15:15 13
13 Harborough 9 3 3 3 10:11 12
14 Worksop 9 4 0 5 9:12 12
15 Scarborough Athletic 9 3 2 4 14:11 11
16 Chorley 9 3 2 4 14:16 11
17 Marine 9 3 0 6 10:11 9
18 Telford 9 2 3 4 8:10 9
19 Hednesford 9 2 3 4 13:16 9
20 Southport 9 2 2 5 11:18 8
21 Brackley 8 2 2 4 7:16 8
22 Radcliffe 9 2 0 7 8:16 6
23 Darlington FC 9 2 0 7 11:20 6
24 Spennymoor 9 1 3 5 9:19 6
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