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South Sudan U20 vs Burundi U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship U20 Uhuru Stadium, Dar-es-Salaam
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Match Events

41' Event
Nshimirimana A.
45' Event
Nshimirimana A.
75' Event
Majidi S.

AI Match Summary

Burundi U20 in this CECAFA Championship U20 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Burundi U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
South Sudan U20
20%
Draws
44%
Burundi U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Burundi U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Burundi U20 have won more games recently than South Sudan U20.
  • Win probability leans South Sudan U20's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
South Sudan U20 Clean Sheet 17%
Burundi U20 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Sudan U20 Burundi U20
Matches Played 24 28
Wins 7 9
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 0.92 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 CECAFA Championship U20
South Sudan U20 vs Burundi U20
0:4
Oct 7, 2024 CECAFA Championship U20
South Sudan U20 vs Burundi U20
0:1
Nov 1, 2022 CECAFA Championship U20
Burundi U20 vs South Sudan U20
0:0
Nov 27, 2020 CECAFA Championship U20
Burundi U20 vs South Sudan U20
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Sudan U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Burundi U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nshimirimana A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Majidi S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Sudan U20 36 / 100
Burundi U20 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Sudan U20 Burundi U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burundi U20 has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

South Sudan U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Burundi U20 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Sudan U20 VS Burundi U20
0.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
25% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

South Sudan U20

(Home)
19 Sept
Kenya U20
1 : 1
South Sudan U20
15 Sept
South Sudan U20
0 : 4
Burundi U20
11 Oct
Uganda U20
2 : 2
South Sudan U20
09 Oct
South Sudan U20
2 : 1
Ethiopia U20
07 Oct
South Sudan U20
0 : 1
Burundi U20
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Burundi U20

(Away)
24 Sept
Uganda U20
2 : 0
Burundi U20
22 Sept
Tanzania U20
2 : 0
Burundi U20
17 Sept
Burundi U20
2 : 0
Kenya U20
15 Sept
South Sudan U20
0 : 4
Burundi U20
20 Oct
Uganda U20
3 : 1
Burundi U20
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanzania U20 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Rwanda U20 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
3 Ethiopia U20 2 0 1 1 0:4 1
Promotion - CECAFA Championship U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda U20 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Sudan U20 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
3 Djibouti U20 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - CECAFA Championship U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burundi U20 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Kenya U20 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
3 South Sudan U20 2 0 1 1 1:5 1
Promotion - CECAFA Championship U20 (Play Offs)