Sport Picks

Stadium Background

South Sudan vs Djibouti

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Juba Stadium, Juba
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Akinbinu S.
Assist: Dadzie G.

AI Match Summary

Djibouti in this Africa Cup of Nations tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
South Sudan
6%
Draws
4%
Djibouti
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: South Sudan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to South Sudan lately — more wins on the board than Djibouti.
  • Win probability leans South Sudan's way, sitting at 90%.
  • South Sudan have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor South Sudan, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • South Sudan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
South Sudan Clean Sheet 68%
Djibouti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Sudan Djibouti
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 8 6
Draws 8 3
Losses 16 22
Goals Scored 0.25 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 4.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 4.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations
South Sudan vs Djibouti
0:1
Mar 26, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations
Djibouti vs South Sudan
0:4
Mar 27, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations
South Sudan vs Djibouti
1:0
Mar 23, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations
Djibouti vs South Sudan
2:4
Mar 28, 2017 Africa Cup of Nations
South Sudan vs Djibouti
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Sudan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Djibouti Compare

Top Goalscorer Akinbinu S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Sudan 95 / 100
Djibouti 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Sudan Djibouti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SSU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Djibouti's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Djibouti has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: South Sudan scored in 50% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

South Sudan VS Djibouti
0.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 4.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

South Sudan

(Home)
29 Mar
South Sudan
0 : 1
Djibouti
26 Mar
Djibouti
0 : 4
South Sudan
25 Nov
Syria
2 : 0
South Sudan
13 Oct
South Sudan
0 : 0
Togo
10 Oct
South Sudan
0 : 5
Senegal
Page 1 of 7

Djibouti

(Away)
29 Mar
South Sudan
0 : 1
Djibouti
26 Mar
Djibouti
0 : 4
South Sudan
26 Nov
Bahrain
1 : 0
Djibouti
17 Nov
Morocco B
7 : 0
Djibouti
15 Nov
Morocco B
6 : 0
Djibouti
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Djibouti1
South Sudan4
Chad0
Burundi8
Somalia1
Mauritius0
Seychelles1
Lesotho2
Eritrea4
Eswatini1
Sao Tome and Principe0
Ethiopia4