Sport Picks
South Sudan vs Kenya Prediction & H2H Stats
Africa
African Nations Championship 
Match Events
50'
50'
Ezibon E.
68'
68'
Juma Y.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
20%
58%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kenya
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Kenya have won more games recently than South Sudan.
- Model gives Kenya a 58% chance of winning this.
- Kenya arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor South Sudan, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
South Sudan Clean Sheet 20%
Kenya Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | South Sudan | Kenya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 25 |
| Wins | 7 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.84 | 1.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.58 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.08 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 3, 2024 African Nations Championship
Kenya vs South Sudan
1:1
Oct 27, 2024 African Nations Championship
South Sudan vs Kenya
2:0
Sep 12, 2023 Friendly International
Kenya vs South Sudan
0:1
Mar 13, 2021 Friendly International
Kenya vs South Sudan
1:0
Jun 7, 2015 Friendly International
Kenya vs South Sudan
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
South Sudan Compare
Top Goalscorer Ezibon E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Juma Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Kenya Compare
Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.6
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
South Sudan 16 / 100
Kenya 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
South Sudan Kenya
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kenya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Kenya conceded in 68% of 25 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
South Sudan's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Solid form: South Sudan remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
South Sudan VS Kenya
0.83 Goals Scored 0.5
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.75
67% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
South Sudan
(Home) 29 Sept
South Sudan
0 : 5 Egypt
25 Sept
Malawi
2 : 1 South Sudan
29 Mar
South Sudan
0 : 1 Djibouti
26 Mar
Djibouti
0 : 4 South Sudan
25 Nov
Syria
2 : 0 South Sudan
Page 1 of 7
29 Sept
South Sudan
0 : 5 Egypt
29 Mar
South Sudan
0 : 1 Djibouti
13 Oct
South Sudan
0 : 0 Togo
10 Oct
South Sudan
0 : 5 Senegal
05 Sept
South Sudan
1 : 4 D.R. Congo
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Kenya
(Away) 01 Oct
Guinea
1 : 0 Kenya
26 Sept
Kenya
1 : 1 Eritrea
07 Jun
Kenya
4 : 0 Lesotho
04 Jun
Lesotho
1 : 1 Kenya
30 Mar
Grenada
0 : 3 Kenya
Page 1 of 5
01 Oct
Guinea
1 : 0 Kenya
04 Jun
Lesotho
1 : 1 Kenya
30 Mar
Grenada
0 : 3 Kenya
18 Nov
Senegal
8 : 0 Kenya
14 Oct
Ivory Coast
3 : 0 Kenya
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Semi-finals
Sierra Leone 2
Liberia 3
TBD -
Senegal -
Mauritania -
TBD -
TBD -
Mali -
Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Guinea Bissau -
Togo 3
Benin 1
TBD -
Niger -
Ivory Coast -
TBD -
TBD -
Burkina Faso -
Ghana -
TBD -
TBD -
Nigeria -
Equatorial Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Congo -
Central Africa -
TBD -
TBD -
Cameroon -
Chad -
TBD -
TBD -
D.R. Congo -
Burundi 6
Somalia 0
TBD -
Uganda -
Ethiopia 6
Eritrea 0
Sudan 2
Tanzania 1
South Sudan 3
Kenya 1
Djibouti 1
Rwanda 3
Zimbabwe 0
Eswatini 4
TBD -
Madagascar -
Lesotho 2
Namibia 1
TBD -
Angola -
Mozambique -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia -
Final
Liberia 1
Senegal 4
Mauritania 1
Mali 0
Guinea 6
Guinea Bissau 2
Togo 1
Niger 1
Ivory Coast 2
Burkina Faso 3
Ghana 1
Nigeria 3
Equatorial Guinea 1
Congo 2
Central Africa 2
Cameroon 2
Chad 2
D.R. Congo 4
Burundi 0
Uganda 2
Ethiopia 1
Sudan 4
South Sudan 4
Rwanda 4
Eswatini 1
Madagascar 2
Lesotho 1
Angola 2
Mozambique 0
Zambia 6
