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South Sudan vs Sao Tome and Principe

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

South Sudan host Sao Tome and Principe in the Africa Cup of Nations 2025. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: South Sudan at 0.38 goals for, 1.63 against; Sao Tome and Principe at 0.5 for, 2.5 against. Head-to-head, South Sudan have won 0 to Sao Tome and Principe's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 26, 2024, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.06, favoring South Sudan. South Sudan in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
South Sudan
6%
Draws
4%
Sao Tome and Principe
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: South Sudan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • South Sudan has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sao Tome and Principe.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for South Sudan.
  • Cup tournament structure in Africa Cup of Nations 2025 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
South Sudan Clean Sheet 68%
Sao Tome and Principe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Sudan Sao Tome and Principe
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 3
Draws 8 4
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 0.38 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
South Sudan vs Sao Tome and Principe
0:0
Mar 22, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Sao Tome and Principe vs South Sudan
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Sudan 95 / 100
Sao Tome and Principe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Sudan Sao Tome and Principe

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SSU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Sudan scored in 46% of their last 28 games.

Sao Tome and Principe let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

South Sudan went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Sao Tome and Principe lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Sudan VS Sao Tome and Principe
0.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Somalia2
Eswatini5
Sao Tome and Principe1
South Sudan1
Chad3
Mauritius1
Djibouti0
Liberia2