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Stadium Background

South Sudan vs South Africa

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Juba Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

South Sudan play South Africa in the Africa Cup of Nations 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, South Sudan averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. South Africa averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, South Sudan won 0, South Africa won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 19, 2024 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.90 for South Sudan and 1.18 for South Africa. This points to a South Africa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
South Sudan
40%
Draws
29%
South Africa
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • South Africa has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to South Sudan.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Africa Cup of Nations 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 57.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
South Sudan Clean Sheet 68%
South Africa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Sudan South Africa
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 8 15
Draws 8 13
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.8 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.6 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.80 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.60 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
South Africa vs South Sudan
3:0
Sep 10, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
South Sudan vs South Africa
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Sudan Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuach Yuel V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.4

South Africa Compare

Top Goalscorer Appollis O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mbatha T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Sudan 42 / 100
South Africa 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Sudan South Africa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Sudan scored in 50% of their last 32 games.

South Africa let in goals in 61% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

South Sudan went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

South Africa lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Sudan VS South Africa
0.8 Goals Scored 1.75
0.6 Goals Conceded 1
40% Over 1.5 75%
20% Over 2.5 63%
20% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comoros63307:412
2Tunisia63127:610
3Gambia62226:68
4Madagascar60244:82
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Morocco660026:218
2Gabon63127:910
3Lesotho61142:134
4Central Africa61053:143
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1Egypt642012:214
2Botswana62224:78
3Mauritania62133:67
4Cape Verde61143:74
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nigeria63219:311
2Benin62227:78
3Rwanda62225:78
4Libya61233:75
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Algeria651016:216
2Equatorial Guinea62225:88
3Togo61237:105
4Liberia61144:124
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Angola64207:214
2Sudan62224:68
3Niger62137:67
4Ghana60333:73
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zambia64117:413
2Ivory Coast640212:312
3Sierra Leone61235:105
4Chad60331:83
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1D.R. Congo64027:312
2Tanzania63125:410
3Guinea63039:59
4Ethiopia61143:124
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mali642010:114
2Mozambique63219:511
3Guinea Bissau61234:65
4Eswatini60242:132
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cameroon64208:214
2Zimbabwe62316:49
3Kenya61324:76
4Namibia60242:72
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Africa642016:514
2Uganda64118:513
3Congo61144:124
4South Sudan61056:123
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Senegal651010:116
2Burkina Faso631210:710
3Burundi61144:114
4Malawi61146:114