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South Sudan W vs Madagascar W

World World

Olympic Games Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

South Sudan W play Madagascar W in the Olympic Games Women. Madagascar W are favorites here. Recently, South Sudan W averaged 0.82 goals scored and 3.61 conceded. Madagascar W averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, South Sudan W won 0, Madagascar W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 9, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for South Sudan W and 2.38 for Madagascar W. This points to a Madagascar W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
South Sudan W
15%
Draws
65%
Madagascar W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Madagascar W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • South Sudan W picked up more points recently compared to Madagascar W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 2.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27%
South Sudan W Clean Sheet 10%
Madagascar W Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Sudan W Madagascar W
Matches Played 28 19
Wins 5 7
Draws 1 3
Losses 22 9
Goals Scored 0.82 1.37
Goals Conceded 3.61 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Olympic Games Women
Madagascar W vs South Sudan W
1:0
Jun 6, 2026 Olympic Games Women
South Sudan W vs Madagascar W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Sudan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Albert A. J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Madagascar W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mamonjy S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Sudan W 20 / 100
Madagascar W 61 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Sudan W Madagascar W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Madagascar W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Madagascar W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +66.6%
8.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

South Sudan W attacking → ← attacking Madagascar W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Sudan W scored in 29% of their last 28 games.

Madagascar W let in goals in 63% of their last 19 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

South Sudan W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Madagascar W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 24
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
3.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50