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Southampton FC W vs Gillingham W

England England

Women’s FA Cup 2016/2017 St. Mary's Stadium
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Southampton FC W host Gillingham W in the Women’s FA Cup 2016/2017. This one's hard to separate. Southampton FC W have averaged 2.13 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against Gillingham W's 0 scored and 0 conceded. Head-to-head, Southampton FC W have won 0 to Gillingham W's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Dec 4, 2016, ending 1:7. The numbers (1.67 xG vs 1.38) point toward Gillingham W. Gillingham W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Southampton FC W
28%
Draws
22%
Gillingham W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Southampton FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Southampton FC W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Gillingham W.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Southampton FC W.
  • Cup tournament structure in Women’s FA Cup 2016/2017 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Southampton FC W Clean Sheet 17%
Gillingham W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southampton FC W Gillingham W
Matches Played 39 29
Wins 19 16
Draws 5 0
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 2.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 4, 2016 Women’s FA Cup
Southampton FC W vs Gillingham W
1:7

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southampton FC W 48 / 100
Gillingham W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southampton FC W Gillingham W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southampton FC W scored in 77% of their last 39 games.

Gillingham W let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Southampton FC W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Gillingham W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Southampton FC W VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Birmingham W-
TBD-
West Brom W2
Leicester W1
Arsenal W-
TBD-
Tottenham W1
Brighton W0
Chelsea W-
TBD-
Sheffield Wed W0
Doncaster W1
Sunderland W-
TBD-
Coventry United W0
Aston Villa W1
Bristol City W-
TBD-
London City Lionesses W3
Nottingham W1
Manchester City W-
TBD-
TBD-
Reading W-
Liverpool W-
TBD-
Durham W2
Everton W3
Notts County W-
TBD-
TBD-
Yeovil W-
1/8-finals
Birmingham W2
West Brom W0
Arsenal W10
Tottenham W0
Chelsea W7
Doncaster W0
Sunderland W3
Aston Villa W2
Bristol City W5
London City Lionesses W0
Manchester City W1
Reading W0
Liverpool W2
Everton W1
Notts County W3
Yeovil W2
Quarter-finals
Birmingham W1
Arsenal W0
Chelsea W5
Sunderland W1
Bristol City W1
Manchester City W2
Liverpool W2
Notts County W0
Semi-finals
Birmingham W2
Chelsea W1
Manchester City W1
Liverpool W0
Final
Birmingham W1
Manchester City W4