Sport Picks
Southampton FC W vs Nottingham W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
WSL 2 St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton 
Match Events
37'
37'
Lafayette A.
54'
54'
Brougham G.
63'
63'
Jupp F.
Assist: McInnes L.
AI Match Summary
The WSL 2 game between Southampton FC W and Nottingham W finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
35%
47%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nottingham W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
18%
/ Low Confidence
- Nottingham W carry the better recent record into this one.
- 18% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular WSL 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Southampton FC W Clean Sheet 20%
Nottingham W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Southampton FC W | Nottingham W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 34 |
| Wins | 11 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 WSL 2
Southampton FC W vs Nottingham W
1:1
May 2, 2026 WSL 2
Nottingham W vs Southampton FC W
0:3
Nov 2, 2025 WSL 2
Southampton FC W vs Nottingham W
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Southampton FC W Compare
Top Goalscorer Jupp F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Nottingham W Compare
Top Goalscorer Boye-Hlorkah C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Southampton FC W 31 / 100
Nottingham W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Southampton FC W Nottingham W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Southampton FC W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Southampton FC W scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Nottingham W has conceded goals in 76% of their last 34 outings.
Recent resilience: Southampton FC W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Southampton FC W VS Nottingham W
2 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Southampton FC W
(Home) 04 Oct
Bristol City W
2 : 1 Southampton FC W
30 Sept
West Ham W
3 : 1 Southampton FC W
27 Sept
Southampton FC W
1 : 1 Nottingham W
20 Sept
Sunderland W
0 : 0 Southampton FC W
13 Sept
Southampton FC W
0 : 0 Ipswich W
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Southampton FC W
1 : 1 Nottingham W
13 Sept
Southampton FC W
0 : 0 Ipswich W
26 Apr
Southampton FC W
2 : 2 Charlton W
03 Apr
Southampton FC W
5 : 2 Sheffield Utd W
15 Mar
Southampton FC W
0 : 1 Birmingham W
Page 1 of 3
Nottingham W
(Away) 04 Oct
Nottingham W
2 : 0 Burnley W
27 Sept
Southampton FC W
1 : 1 Nottingham W
23 Sept
Nottingham W
0 : 2 Aston Villa W
20 Sept
Durham W
1 : 2 Nottingham W
13 Sept
Nottingham W
2 : 2 Watford W
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Southampton FC W
1 : 1 Nottingham W
20 Sept
Durham W
1 : 2 Nottingham W
06 Sept
Ipswich W
1 : 1 Nottingham W
26 Apr
Portsmouth W
0 : 1 Nottingham W
05 Apr
Newcastle Utd W
1 : 1 Nottingham W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle Utd W | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:1 | 15 |
| 2 | Sunderland W | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Ipswich W | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 11 |
| 4 | Nottingham W | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Wolverhampton W | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 7 |
| 6 | Bristol City W | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 7 | Southampton FC W | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 8 | Leicester W | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | 6 |
| 9 | Sheffield Utd W | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:11 | 3 |
| 10 | Watford W | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 11 | Burnley W | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1:7 | 2 |
| 12 | Durham W | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5:16 | 0 |
Promotion - WSL 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - WSL (Relegation)
