Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Southampton U21 vs Bournemouth U21

England England

Premier League 2 Staplewood Training Ground, Southampton
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Sillah Dibaga S.
Assist: Akachukwu R.
16' Event
Akachukwu R.
Assist: Gathercole H.
26' Event
Sills E.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Southampton U21 in this Premier League 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Southampton U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Southampton U21
20%
Draws
42%
Bournemouth U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bournemouth U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bournemouth U21 lately — more wins on the board than Southampton U21.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premier League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Southampton U21 Clean Sheet 13%
Bournemouth U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southampton U21 Bournemouth U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.57 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Premier League 2
Southampton U21 vs Bournemouth U21
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southampton U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sillah Dibaga S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Akachukwu R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Bournemouth U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southampton U21 30 / 100
Bournemouth U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southampton U21 Bournemouth U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Southampton U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southampton U21's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Bournemouth U21 conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Southampton U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Southampton U21 VS Bournemouth U21
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Southampton U21

(Home)
12 Sept
Southampton U21
3 : 1
Bournemouth U21
08 Sept
Woking
4 : 1
Southampton U21
04 Sept
Bolton U21
1 : 1
Southampton U21
28 Aug
Everton U21
1 : 2
Southampton U21
21 Aug
West Ham U21
0 : 0
Southampton U21
Page 1 of 6

Bournemouth U21

(Away)
12 Sept
Southampton U21
3 : 1
Bournemouth U21
04 Sept
Leicester U21
0 : 1
Bournemouth U21
31 Aug
Bournemouth U21
3 : 1
Middlesbrough U21
21 Aug
Bournemouth U21
2 : 1
Chelsea U21
14 Aug
Cardiff U21
4 : 1
Bournemouth U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U21 3 2 1 0 11:6 7
2 Tottenham U21 3 2 1 0 9:5 7
3 Norwich U21 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
4 Southampton U21 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
5 Manchester United U21 2 2 0 0 9:1 6
6 Chelsea U21 3 2 0 1 10:7 6
7 Brentford U21 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
8 Sunderland U21 3 2 0 1 10:8 6
9 Reading U21 3 2 0 1 7:6 6
10 Bournemouth U21 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
11 Nottingham U21 3 2 0 1 4:6 6
12 Stoke City U21 3 1 1 1 6:3 4
13 Brighton U21 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
14 Crystal Palace U21 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
15 Everton U21 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
16 Leeds U21 3 1 1 1 9:9 4
17 Derby U21 3 1 1 1 8:8 4
18 West Ham U21 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
19 Liverpool U21 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
20 Aston Villa U21 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
21 Manchester City U21 2 1 0 1 5:2 3
22 Ipswich U21 3 1 0 2 6:10 3
23 Arsenal U21 3 0 2 1 4:7 2
24 West Brom U21 2 0 1 1 7:8 1
25 Birmingham U21 2 0 1 1 5:7 1
26 Middlesbrough U21 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
27 Burnley U21 3 0 0 3 4:8 0
28 Blackburn U21 2 0 0 2 3:7 0
29 Leicester U21 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
30 Newcastle Utd U21 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
31 Wolves U21 2 0 0 2 0:8 0
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