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Southampton U21 vs Bournemouth U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League 2 Staplewood Training Ground, Southampton
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Sillah Dibaga S.
Assist: Akachukwu R.
16' Event
Akachukwu R.
Assist: Gathercole H.
26' Event
Sills E.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Southampton U21 in this Premier League 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Southampton U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Southampton U21
20%
Draws
47%
Bournemouth U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bournemouth U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bournemouth U21 lately — more wins on the board than Southampton U21.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premier League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Southampton U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Bournemouth U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southampton U21 Bournemouth U21
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.93 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Premier League 2
Southampton U21 vs Bournemouth U21
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southampton U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sillah Dibaga S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Akachukwu R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Bournemouth U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southampton U21 30 / 100
Bournemouth U21 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southampton U21 Bournemouth U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bournemouth U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southampton U21's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Bournemouth U21 conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Southampton U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Southampton U21 VS Bournemouth U21
2.63 Goals Scored 2.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Southampton U21

(Home)
03 Nov
Sutton
1 : 0
Southampton U21
30 Oct
Blackburn U21
2 : 1
Southampton U21
26 Oct
Crystal Palace U21
2 : 5
Southampton U21
20 Oct
Southampton U21
1 : 1
Juventus U21
13 Oct
Boston United
5 : 6
Southampton U21
Page 1 of 6

Bournemouth U21

(Away)
02 Nov
Bournemouth U21
3 : 2
Cardiff U21
26 Oct
Bournemouth U21
3 : 4
Brentford U21
18 Oct
Brighton U21
3 : 3
Bournemouth U21
12 Oct
Bournemouth U21
6 : 1
Plymouth U21
21 Sept
Bournemouth U21
2 : 1
Stoke City U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tottenham U21 6 5 1 0 17:8 16
2 Southampton U21 5 4 1 0 12:4 13
3 Chelsea U21 6 4 1 1 17:11 13
4 Fulham U21 7 4 1 2 20:15 13
5 Norwich U21 6 4 1 1 14:10 13
6 Nottingham U21 7 4 1 2 13:13 13
7 Liverpool U21 6 3 2 1 11:6 11
8 Reading U21 7 3 2 2 10:9 11
9 Sunderland U21 7 3 1 3 18:16 10
10 Bournemouth U21 6 3 1 2 14:13 10
11 Manchester United U21 4 3 0 1 14:6 9
12 Brentford U21 7 3 0 4 15:15 9
13 West Ham U21 7 2 3 2 12:12 9
14 Blackburn U21 5 3 0 2 10:10 9
15 Everton U21 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
16 Brighton U21 6 2 2 2 14:14 8
17 Aston Villa U21 5 2 2 1 8:8 8
18 Crystal Palace U21 5 2 1 2 9:8 7
19 Derby U21 6 2 1 3 16:16 7
20 Leeds U21 5 2 1 2 12:13 7
21 Manchester City U21 4 2 0 2 11:9 6
22 Ipswich U21 4 2 0 2 11:10 6
23 Wolves U21 5 2 0 3 4:11 6
24 Leicester U21 6 1 2 3 7:12 5
25 Stoke City U21 7 1 1 5 12:15 4
26 Arsenal U21 6 0 4 2 7:13 4
27 Newcastle Utd U21 5 1 1 3 5:12 4
28 Burnley U21 6 1 0 5 9:13 3
29 Birmingham U21 6 0 3 3 7:18 3
30 Middlesbrough U21 6 0 2 4 9:14 2
31 West Brom U21 5 0 1 4 11:17 1
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