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Southampton U21 vs Dinamo Zagreb 2

Europe Europe

Premier League International Cup 2023/2024
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AI Match Summary

Southampton U21 play Dinamo Zagreb 2 in the Premier League International Cup 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Southampton U21 averaged 1.71 goals scored and 1.84 conceded. Dinamo Zagreb 2 averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Southampton U21 won 0, Dinamo Zagreb 2 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Dec 20, 2023 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Southampton U21 and 2.06 for Dinamo Zagreb 2. This points to a Southampton U21 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Southampton U21
20%
Draws
38%
Dinamo Zagreb 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Southampton U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Southampton U21 picked up more points recently compared to Dinamo Zagreb 2.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 2.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Southampton U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Dinamo Zagreb 2 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southampton U21 Dinamo Zagreb 2
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.71 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2023 Premier League International Cup
Southampton U21 vs Dinamo Zagreb 2
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southampton U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pearce L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Dinamo Zagreb 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Majic T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gec V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southampton U21 40 / 100
Dinamo Zagreb 2 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southampton U21 Dinamo Zagreb 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Southampton U21 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Southampton U21 attacking → ← attacking Dinamo Zagreb 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southampton U21 scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Dinamo Zagreb 2 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Southampton U21 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Dinamo Zagreb 2 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 40
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Wolves U2143108:410
2Jong PSV430116:69
3Hertha Berlin II42115:37
4Blackburn U2142029:96
5Nottingham U2142025:76
6Leeds U2142026:116
7Sparta Prague U2141037:103
8Nice II40043:90
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Brighton U21440011:712
2West Ham U21431010:110
3Chelsea U2142119:67
4Lyon II42119:77
5Valencia B41125:54
6Celtic U2341037:133
7Southampton U2140136:111
8Dinamo Zagreb 240134:111
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Fulham U21440010:412
2Everton U2143107:310
3Crystal Palace U2142207:48
4Ath Bilbao B41125:54
5Liverpool U2141126:74
6Monaco II41036:103
7Jong Feyenoord40223:72
8Benfica B40134:81