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Southampton U21 vs Lyon II

Europe Europe

Premier League International Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Fougeu B.
49' Event
Perret R.
59' Event
Perret R.
Assist: Bossiwa S.

AI Match Summary

Lyon II in this Premier League International Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 3-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Southampton U21
15%
Draws
46%
Lyon II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lyon II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Southampton U21 average 1.55 goals a game right now, well clear of Lyon II's 1.5.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Lyon II, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Southampton U21 Clean Sheet 19%
Lyon II Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southampton U21 Lyon II
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.55 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2023 Premier League International Cup
Southampton U21 vs Lyon II
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southampton U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dibling T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ehibhatiomhan P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Lyon II Compare

Top Goalscorer Perret R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fougeu B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southampton U21 36 / 100
Lyon II 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southampton U21 Lyon II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lyon II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Southampton U21 scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Lyon II has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Southampton U21 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Southampton U21 VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Southampton U21

(Home)
18 Sept
Wolves U21
0 : 2
Southampton U21
12 Sept
Southampton U21
3 : 1
Bournemouth U21
08 Sept
Woking
4 : 1
Southampton U21
04 Sept
Bolton U21
1 : 1
Southampton U21
28 Aug
Everton U21
1 : 2
Southampton U21
Page 1 of 7

Lyon II

(Away)
07 May
Nottingham U21
1 : 0
Lyon II
22 Apr
Fulham U21
0 : 2
Lyon II
11 Mar
Lyon II
3 : 0
Valencia B
03 Dec
West Ham U21
0 : 2
Lyon II
30 Oct
Middlesbrough U21
0 : 1
Lyon II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wolves U21 4 3 1 0 8:4 10
2 Jong PSV 4 3 0 1 16:6 9
3 Hertha Berlin II 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
4 Blackburn U21 4 2 0 2 9:9 6
5 Nottingham U21 4 2 0 2 5:7 6
6 Leeds U21 4 2 0 2 6:11 6
7 Sparta Prague U21 4 1 0 3 7:10 3
8 Nice II 4 0 0 4 3:9 0
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brighton U21 4 4 0 0 11:7 12
2 West Ham U21 4 3 1 0 10:1 10
3 Chelsea U21 4 2 1 1 9:6 7
4 Lyon II 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
5 Valencia B 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
6 Celtic U23 4 1 0 3 7:13 3
7 Southampton U21 4 0 1 3 6:11 1
8 Dinamo Zagreb 2 4 0 1 3 4:11 1
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U21 4 4 0 0 10:4 12
2 Everton U21 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
3 Crystal Palace U21 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
4 Ath Bilbao B 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
5 Liverpool U21 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
6 Monaco II 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
7 Jong Feyenoord 4 0 2 2 3:7 2
8 Benfica B 4 0 1 3 4:8 1
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams