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Southampton U21 vs Monaco II Prediction & H2H Stats

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Premier League International Cup 2025/2026
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Match Events

16' Event
Brunner P.
Assist: Dembaga B.
52' Event
Brunner P.
Assist: Cabral P.

AI Match Summary

Monaco II in this Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Southampton U21
15%
Draws
32%
Monaco II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Southampton U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Not much separates Southampton U21 and Monaco II on recent form.
  • Model gives Southampton U21 a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Monaco II, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Southampton U21 Clean Sheet 18%
Monaco II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southampton U21 Monaco II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 3
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.52 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 2, 2025 Premier League International Cup
Southampton U21 vs Monaco II
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southampton U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Monaco II Compare

Top Goalscorer Brunner P.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southampton U21 67 / 100
Monaco II 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southampton U21 Monaco II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Southampton U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southampton U21 scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Monaco II has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Southampton U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Southampton U21 VS Monaco II
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Southampton U21

(Home)
18 Sept
Wolves U21
0 : 2
Southampton U21
12 Sept
Southampton U21
3 : 1
Bournemouth U21
08 Sept
Woking
4 : 1
Southampton U21
04 Sept
Bolton U21
1 : 1
Southampton U21
28 Aug
Everton U21
1 : 2
Southampton U21
Page 1 of 6

Monaco II

(Away)
10 Feb
Wolves U21
3 : 1
Monaco II
20 Jan
Manchester City U21
1 : 3
Monaco II
19 Dec
Everton U21
2 : 1
Monaco II
02 Dec
Southampton U21
0 : 2
Monaco II
09 Aug
Monaco II
0 : 2
Arsenal U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Everton U21 4 3 0 1 10:6 9
2 Real Madrid U21 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Wolves U21 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
4 Monaco II 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
5 Manchester City U21 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
6 Jong PSV 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
7 RB Leipzig II 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
8 Southampton U21 4 0 1 3 2:9 1
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crystal Palace U21 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
2 Valencia B 4 3 0 1 8:5 9
3 B. Monchengladbach II 4 3 0 1 8:6 9
4 Nordsjaelland U21 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
5 Fulham U21 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
6 West Brom U21 4 1 0 3 7:10 3
7 Juventus U21 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
8 Leicester U21 4 0 1 3 6:10 1
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Sociedad B 4 3 1 0 6:3 10
2 Dinamo Zagreb 2 4 3 0 1 6:3 9
3 Benfica B 4 2 2 0 13:4 8
4 PSG U21 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
5 Brighton U21 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
6 Nottingham U21 4 1 1 2 3:3 4
7 Newcastle Utd U21 4 0 1 3 0:10 1
8 Chelsea U21 4 0 0 4 6:14 0
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dortmund II 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
2 Manchester United U21 4 3 0 1 8:7 9
3 Sunderland U21 4 2 1 1 11:6 7
4 Anderlecht 2 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
5 Leeds U21 4 2 0 2 4:7 6
6 Sporting CP B 4 1 0 3 5:7 3
7 Ath Bilbao B 4 1 0 3 6:11 3
8 West Ham U21 4 1 0 3 3:8 3
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)