Sport Picks
Southampton vs QPR - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Championship St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton 
Match Events
11'
11'
Matsuki K.
55'
55'
Bragg C.
Assist: Manning R.
59'
59'
Sub
Poku K. In: Dembele K.
Out: Poku K.
AI Match Summary
The Championship game between Southampton and QPR finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Southampton.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
20%
28%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Southampton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- QPR haven't matched Southampton's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Southampton's way, sitting at 50%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Southampton have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Southampton Clean Sheet 19%
QPR Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Southampton | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 19 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 4 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.1 | 1.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 31, 2026 Championship
Southampton vs QPR
4:1
Feb 24, 2026 Championship
Southampton vs QPR
5:0
Nov 5, 2025 Championship
QPR vs Southampton
1:2
Dec 23, 2023 Championship
QPR vs Southampton
0:1
Aug 26, 2023 Championship
Southampton vs QPR
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Southampton Compare
Top Goalscorer Matsuki K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bragg C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
QPR Compare
Top Goalscorer Kone R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Southampton 49 / 100
QPR 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Southampton QPR
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Southampton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Southampton found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Southampton stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
QPR's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Southampton VS QPR
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Southampton
(Home) 31 Oct
Southampton
4 : 1 QPR
24 Oct
West Ham
2 : 3 Southampton
17 Oct
Southampton
0 : 0 Bolton
14 Oct
Norwich
0 : 1 Southampton
11 Oct
Southampton
1 : 0 Portsmouth
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Southampton
4 : 1 QPR
17 Oct
Southampton
0 : 0 Bolton
11 Oct
Southampton
1 : 0 Portsmouth
12 Sept
Southampton
4 : 1 Bristol City
08 Sept
Southampton
3 : 1 Swansea
Page 1 of 3
QPR
(Away) 31 Oct
Southampton
4 : 1 QPR
24 Oct
QPR
5 : 0 Swansea
17 Oct
Birmingham
3 : 0 QPR
14 Oct
QPR
4 : 1 Derby
09 Oct
West Ham
1 : 1 QPR
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Southampton
4 : 1 QPR
17 Oct
Birmingham
3 : 0 QPR
09 Oct
West Ham
1 : 1 QPR
12 Sept
West Brom
1 : 1 QPR
09 Sept
Charlton
0 : 0 QPR
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Swansea | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 | Wolves | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 | West Brom | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Southampton | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 | Stoke City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 | QPR | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 | Norwich | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 | Lincoln City | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 | Cardiff | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 | Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 | Bolton | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 | Charlton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 | Watford | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 | Derby | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
