Sport Picks
Southampton vs West Ham Prediction & H2H Stats
England
EFL Cup St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton 
Match Events
10'
10'
Scienza L.
26'
26'
Bragg C.
34'
34'
Scienza L.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-4. The second leg ended 1-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: West Ham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Southampton come out ahead of West Ham on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Southampton have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor West Ham, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Southampton Clean Sheet 10%
West Ham Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Southampton | West Ham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 20 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 4 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 25, 2026 EFL Cup
Southampton vs West Ham
1:4
Apr 19, 2025 Premier League
West Ham vs Southampton
1:1
Dec 26, 2024 Premier League
Southampton vs West Ham
0:1
Apr 2, 2023 Premier League
West Ham vs Southampton
1:0
Oct 16, 2022 Premier League
Southampton vs West Ham
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Southampton Compare
Top Goalscorer Scienza L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
West Ham Compare
Top Goalscorer Ajala J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Castellanos T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Southampton 34 / 100
West Ham 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Southampton West Ham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick West Ham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:7
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Southampton's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: West Ham conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Southampton remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Southampton VS West Ham
2.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Southampton
(Home) 19 Sept
Wrexham
2 : 1 Southampton
12 Sept
Southampton
4 : 1 Bristol City
08 Sept
Southampton
3 : 1 Swansea
05 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 1 Southampton
01 Sept
Birmingham
1 : 1 Southampton
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Southampton
4 : 1 Bristol City
08 Sept
Southampton
3 : 1 Swansea
29 Aug
Southampton
5 : 1 Millwall
25 Aug
Southampton
1 : 4 West Ham
22 Aug
Southampton
3 : 1 Stoke City
Page 1 of 3
West Ham
(Away) 19 Sept
Millwall
2 : 2 West Ham
15 Sept
West Ham
2 : 3 Fulham
11 Sept
West Ham
6 : 0 Wrexham
08 Sept
Bolton
2 : 3 West Ham
05 Sept
West Ham
3 : 0 Derby
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Millwall
2 : 2 West Ham
08 Sept
Bolton
2 : 3 West Ham
29 Aug
Watford
1 : 1 West Ham
25 Aug
Southampton
1 : 4 West Ham
16 Aug
Burnley
2 : 2 West Ham
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Sunderland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Sheffield Utd 0
Ipswich 2
Arsenal 4
Manchester City 5
Norwich 0
Manchester United 2
Brighton 3
Everton 1
Wolves 0
Millwall 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Sunderland 1
Hull City 0
Reading 1
Brentford 2
Liverpool 3
Tottenham 1
Chelsea 6
Leeds 3
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 3
Peterborough 4
Barnsley 3
West Ham 2
Fulham 3
Crystal Palace 3
Middlesbrough 0
Bournemouth 4
Lincoln City 0
Coventry 1
Aston Villa 3
1/8-finals
Fleetwood Town -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
Brighton -
Everton -
Newcastle Utd -
Sunderland -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
Chelsea -
Bradford City -
Peterborough -
Fulham -
Crystal Palace -
Bournemouth -
Aston Villa -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
