Sport Picks

England

Women’s FA Cup 2023/2024

Watford W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Southampton Women's W play Watford W in the Women’s FA Cup 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Southampton Women's W averaged 1.9 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. Watford W averaged 3.52 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Southampton Women's W won 0, Watford W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 10, 2023 ended 1:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Southampton Women's W and 2.30 for Watford W. This points to a Watford W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

Southampton Women's W

15%

Draws

50%

Watford W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Watford W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Southampton Women's W picked up more points recently compared to Watford W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 2.30 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 95%

Over 2.5 Goals 83%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Southampton Women's W Clean Sheet 10%

Watford W Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 86%

Second Half Goal 90%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Southampton Women's W	Watford W
Matches Played	10	31
Wins	6	23
Draws	0	4
Losses	4	4
Goals Scored	1.9	3.52
Goals Conceded	2.3	1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 10, 2023 Women’s FA Cup

Southampton Women's W vs Watford W

Possession: 48% - 42% Cards: 4 - 4

1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southampton Women's W Compare

Top Goalscorer Britt J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Watford W Compare

Top Goalscorer Harbert L.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Agyemang M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 3.18

Avg xA / game 1.94

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southampton Women's W 34 / 100

Watford W 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Southampton Women's W Watford W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Watford W or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.9%

1.30

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Southampton Women's W attacking → ← attacking Watford W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southampton Women's W scored in 70% of their last 10 games.

Watford W let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Southampton Women's W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Watford W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 73

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 3.50

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75