Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Southend U23 vs Oxford Utd U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Premier League Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Oxford Utd U23 in this Premier League Cup 2018/2019 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Southend U23
20%
Draws
40%
Oxford Utd U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Southend U23 haven't matched Oxford Utd U23's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Oxford Utd U23 a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Oxford Utd U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Oxford Utd U23, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Southend U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Oxford Utd U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southend U23 Oxford Utd U23
Matches Played 11 8
Wins 2 3
Draws 1 1
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2018 Premier League Cup
Southend U23 vs Oxford Utd U23
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southend U23 23 / 100
Oxford Utd U23 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southend U23 Oxford Utd U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oxford Utd U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southend U23's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 11 recent games.

Oxford Utd U23 has conceded goals in 75% of their last 8 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Oxford Utd U23's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Southend U23 VS Oxford Utd U23
1.13 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Southend U23

(Home)
14 Feb
Southend U23
1 : 5
Stoke City U23
25 Jan
Southend U23
1 : 0
Colchester U23
08 Dec
Fulham U23
4 : 0
Southend U23
22 Nov
Stoke City U23
3 : 0
Southend U23
08 Oct
Colchester U23
1 : 1
Southend U23
Page 1 of 3

Oxford Utd U23

(Away)
09 Sept
Huddersfield U23
4 : 0
Oxford Utd U23
22 Feb
Wolves U23
2 : 0
Oxford Utd U23
12 Feb
Oxford Utd U23
3 : 0
Hull City U23
19 Jan
Swansea U23
2 : 0
Oxford Utd U23
03 Dec
Oxford Utd U23
1 : 1
Wolves U23
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Newport U23 0
Notts County U23 6
Southend U23 1
Oxford Utd U23 2
Bristol Rovers U23 0
Exeter U23 1
Plymouth U23 2
Portsmouth U23 1