Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Southend vs AFC Fylde

England England

National League Roots Hall, Southend on Sea
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Southend host AFC Fylde in the National League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Southend at 2.15 goals for, 1.3 against; AFC Fylde at 2.11 for, 1.36 against. Past meetings favor Southend slightly — 2-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 28, 2025, ending 2:0. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 2.06) point toward Southend. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Southend
20%
Draws
40%
AFC Fylde
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • AFC Fylde haven't matched Southend's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Southend Clean Sheet 10%
AFC Fylde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southend AFC Fylde
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 18 16
Draws 7 3
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2.15 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2025 National League
Southend vs AFC Fylde
2:0
Sep 17, 2024 National League
AFC Fylde vs Southend
2:1
Apr 13, 2024 National League
AFC Fylde vs Southend
0:2
Sep 23, 2023 National League
Southend vs AFC Fylde
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southend 29 / 100
AFC Fylde 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southend AFC Fylde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Southend Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southend's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

AFC Fylde let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Southend stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Southend VS AFC Fylde
2.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Southend

(Home)
26 Sept
Southend
2 : 4
Barrow
19 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 6
Southend
15 Sept
Southend
3 : 1
Tamworth
12 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 2
Southend
05 Sept
Southend
3 : 2
Yeovil
Page 1 of 7

AFC Fylde

(Away)
26 Sept
Boston United
0 : 1
AFC Fylde
19 Sept
AFC Fylde
1 : 2
Altrincham
15 Sept
Harrogate
1 : 2
AFC Fylde
12 Sept
Yeovil
1 : 4
AFC Fylde
05 Sept
AFC Fylde
2 : 2
Worthing FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 10 8 2 0 26:11 26
2 Southend 10 6 2 2 25:16 20
3 AFC Fylde 10 6 2 2 21:13 20
4 Harrogate 10 6 1 3 24:17 19
5 Aldershot 10 5 3 2 15:8 18
6 Yeovil 10 5 3 2 19:14 18
7 Kidderminster 10 5 3 2 13:8 18
8 Altrincham 10 6 0 4 15:15 18
9 Worthing FC 10 5 2 3 19:16 17
10 Sutton 10 5 2 3 13:13 17
11 Hornchurch 10 5 0 5 11:15 15
12 Forest Green 10 4 2 4 16:17 14
13 Eastleigh 10 4 2 4 12:14 14
14 Halifax 10 4 1 5 15:13 13
15 Woking 10 3 3 4 15:14 12
16 Barrow 10 3 3 4 15:14 12
17 Wealdstone 10 3 2 5 15:15 11
18 Boston United 10 3 2 5 13:14 11
19 Carlisle 10 2 4 4 18:19 10
20 Scunthorpe 10 3 1 6 15:16 10
21 Hartlepool 10 3 0 7 8:15 9
22 Tamworth 10 2 2 6 17:28 8
23 Solihull Moors 10 1 1 8 9:26 4
24 Gateshead 10 1 1 8 6:24 4
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
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