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Southend vs Barrow

England England

National League Roots Hall, Southend on Sea
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Walker G.
22'
Marriott I.
31'
Omochere P.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Southend and Barrow finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barrow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Southend
35%
Draws
27%
Barrow
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Southend

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Southend come out ahead of Barrow on wins alone.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Southend taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Southend have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Southend Clean Sheet 17%
Barrow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southend Barrow
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 18 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.16 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 National League
Southend vs Barrow
2:4
May 1, 2021 League Two
Barrow vs Southend
1:2
Jan 9, 2021 League Two
Southend vs Barrow
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southend Compare

Top Goalscorer Chambers-Parillon L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Barrow Compare

Top Goalscorer Harper R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thompson S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southend 84 / 100
Barrow 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southend Barrow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Southend Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southend's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Southend has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Barrow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Southend VS Barrow
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Southend

(Home)
19 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 6
Southend
15 Sept
Southend
3 : 1
Tamworth
12 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 2
Southend
05 Sept
Southend
3 : 2
Yeovil
31 Aug
Woking
1 : 1
Southend
Page 1 of 7

Barrow

(Away)
19 Sept
Barrow
1 : 0
Aldershot
15 Sept
Solihull Moors
1 : 0
Barrow
12 Sept
Worthing FC
2 : 2
Barrow
05 Sept
Barrow
3 : 0
Sutton
31 Aug
Kidderminster
1 : 1
Barrow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 9 7 2 0 23:11 23
2 Southend 9 6 2 1 23:12 20
3 Kidderminster 9 5 3 1 13:7 18
4 AFC Fylde 9 5 2 2 20:13 17
5 Harrogate 9 5 1 3 20:16 16
6 Sutton 9 5 1 3 10:10 16
7 Yeovil 9 4 3 2 18:14 15
8 Aldershot 9 4 3 2 10:7 15
9 Hornchurch 9 5 0 4 11:12 15
10 Altrincham 9 5 0 4 12:15 15
11 Worthing FC 9 4 2 3 17:15 14
12 Eastleigh 9 4 2 3 11:10 14
13 Halifax 9 4 1 4 14:11 13
14 Forest Green 9 4 1 4 13:14 13
15 Boston United 9 3 2 4 13:13 11
16 Carlisle 9 2 4 3 16:14 10
17 Barrow 9 2 3 4 11:12 9
18 Woking 9 2 3 4 10:12 9
19 Hartlepool 9 3 0 6 7:11 9
20 Wealdstone 9 2 2 5 11:15 8
21 Tamworth 9 2 2 5 16:23 8
22 Scunthorpe 9 2 1 6 11:15 7
23 Solihull Moors 9 1 1 7 9:23 4
24 Gateshead 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
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