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Southend vs Kidderminster

England England

National League Roots Hall, Southend on Sea
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Chambers-Parillon L.
Assist: McAdam K.
25'
Faakye R.
46'
Sub
Hargreaves C. In: Brogan M.
Out: Hargreaves C.

AI Match Summary

Kidderminster in this National League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kidderminster.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Southend
35%
Draws
32%
Kidderminster
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Kidderminster have won more games recently than Southend.
  • Win probability leans Southend's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Southend have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Southend Clean Sheet 16%
Kidderminster Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southend Kidderminster
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 19
Draws 5 5
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 2.14 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 National League
Southend vs Kidderminster
1:3
Dec 23, 2023 National League
Kidderminster vs Southend
1:2
Sep 2, 2023 National League
Southend vs Kidderminster
2:1
Jan 3, 2005 League Two
Kidderminster vs Southend
1:3
Sep 25, 2004 League Two
Southend vs Kidderminster
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southend Compare

Top Goalscorer Chambers-Parillon L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Kidderminster Compare

Top Goalscorer Walker L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stewart C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southend 48 / 100
Kidderminster 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southend Kidderminster

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Southend Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southend's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: Southend remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Kidderminster conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Southend VS Kidderminster
2.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Southend

(Home)
19 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 6
Southend
15 Sept
Southend
3 : 1
Tamworth
12 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 2
Southend
05 Sept
Southend
3 : 2
Yeovil
31 Aug
Woking
1 : 1
Southend
Page 1 of 6

Kidderminster

(Away)
19 Sept
Woking
0 : 0
Kidderminster
16 Sept
Kidderminster
1 : 0
Gateshead
11 Sept
Kidderminster
2 : 0
Hartlepool
05 Sept
Wealdstone
1 : 4
Kidderminster
31 Aug
Kidderminster
1 : 1
Barrow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 9 7 2 0 23:11 23
2 Southend 9 6 2 1 23:12 20
3 Kidderminster 9 5 3 1 13:7 18
4 AFC Fylde 9 5 2 2 20:13 17
5 Harrogate 9 5 1 3 20:16 16
6 Sutton 9 5 1 3 10:10 16
7 Yeovil 9 4 3 2 18:14 15
8 Aldershot 9 4 3 2 10:7 15
9 Hornchurch 9 5 0 4 11:12 15
10 Altrincham 9 5 0 4 12:15 15
11 Worthing FC 9 4 2 3 17:15 14
12 Eastleigh 9 4 2 3 11:10 14
13 Halifax 9 4 1 4 14:11 13
14 Forest Green 9 4 1 4 13:14 13
15 Boston United 9 3 2 4 13:13 11
16 Carlisle 9 2 4 3 16:14 10
17 Barrow 9 2 3 4 11:12 9
18 Woking 9 2 3 4 10:12 9
19 Hartlepool 9 3 0 6 7:11 9
20 Wealdstone 9 2 2 5 11:15 8
21 Tamworth 9 2 2 5 16:23 8
22 Scunthorpe 9 2 1 6 11:15 7
23 Solihull Moors 9 1 1 7 9:23 4
24 Gateshead 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
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