Sport Picks

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Southend vs Northampton

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Dyche M.
39' Event
Warhurst M.
71' Event
Saunders H.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Southend and Northampton finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Northampton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Southend
35%
Draws
25%
Northampton
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Southend

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Northampton haven't matched Southend's recent run of results.
  • Southend are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Southend Clean Sheet 20%
Northampton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southend Northampton
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 3
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 1.97 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Southend vs Northampton
1:3
Jan 6, 2018 League One
Northampton vs Southend
3:1
Sep 16, 2017 League One
Southend vs Northampton
2:2
Feb 18, 2017 League One
Southend vs Northampton
2:2
Sep 24, 2016 League One
Northampton vs Southend
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southend Compare

Top Goalscorer Hyams O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Northampton Compare

Top Goalscorer Dyche M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Warhurst M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southend 49 / 100
Northampton 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southend Northampton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Southend Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southend scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Northampton has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Southend went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Southend VS Northampton
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Southend

(Home)
15 Sept
Southend
3 : 1
Tamworth
12 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 2
Southend
05 Sept
Southend
3 : 2
Yeovil
31 Aug
Woking
1 : 1
Southend
28 Aug
Southend
1 : 3
Kidderminster
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Northampton

(Away)
12 Sept
Shrewsbury
2 : 0
Northampton
05 Sept
Northampton
1 : 0
Newport
01 Sept
Northampton
1 : 1
Crawley Town
29 Aug
Gillingham
1 : 1
Northampton
22 Aug
Crewe
1 : 0
Northampton
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