Sport Picks
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Popoola J. In: Massiah-Edwards Z.
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Kamara S. In: Twamley L.
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Out: Hartigan A.
AI Match Summary
Southend in this National League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Southend.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
30%
19%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Southend
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Tamworth haven't matched Southend's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Southend's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Southend Clean Sheet 16%
Tamworth Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Southend | Tamworth |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.11 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 15, 2026 National League
Southend vs Tamworth
3:1
Dec 20, 2025 National League
Tamworth vs Southend
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 National League
Southend vs Tamworth
2:0
Feb 22, 2025 National League
Tamworth vs Southend
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 National League
Southend vs Tamworth
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Southend Compare
Top Goalscorer Chambers-Parillon L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Omochere P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25
Tamworth Compare
Top Goalscorer Tshikuna N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Southend 84 / 100
Tamworth 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Southend Tamworth
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Southend Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Southend's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Tamworth let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.
Southend has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Scoring Trends
Southend VS Tamworth
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Southend
(Home) 19 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 6 Southend
15 Sept
Southend
3 : 1 Tamworth
12 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 2 Southend
05 Sept
Southend
3 : 2 Yeovil
31 Aug
Woking
1 : 1 Southend
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Southend
3 : 1 Tamworth
05 Sept
Southend
3 : 2 Yeovil
28 Aug
Southend
1 : 3 Kidderminster
15 Aug
Southend
1 : 0 Scunthorpe
01 Aug
Southend
4 : 0 Aveley
Page 1 of 3
Tamworth
(Away) 19 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 1 Wealdstone
15 Sept
Southend
3 : 1 Tamworth
12 Sept
Harrogate
3 : 1 Tamworth
09 Sept
Tamworth
1 : 3 Middlesbrough U21
05 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 2 Boston United
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Southend
3 : 1 Tamworth
12 Sept
Harrogate
3 : 1 Tamworth
31 Aug
Yeovil
3 : 2 Tamworth
22 Aug
Halifax
4 : 1 Tamworth
08 Aug
Boreham Wood
3 : 3 Tamworth
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23:11 | 23 |
| 2 | Southend | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23:12 | 20 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 18 |
| 4 | AFC Fylde | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20:13 | 17 |
| 5 | Harrogate | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:16 | 16 |
| 6 | Sutton | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Yeovil | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 8 | Aldershot | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 15 |
| 9 | Hornchurch | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 11:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Altrincham | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 11 | Worthing FC | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 12 | Eastleigh | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 13 | Halifax | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 13 |
| 14 | Forest Green | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 15 | Boston United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 16 | Carlisle | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 10 |
| 17 | Barrow | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 9 |
| 18 | Woking | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 19 | Hartlepool | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 20 | Wealdstone | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 21 | Tamworth | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 16:23 | 8 |
| 22 | Scunthorpe | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:15 | 7 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9:23 | 4 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6:20 | 4 |
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
