Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Southend vs Wealdstone

England England

FA Trophy 2025/2026 Wembley Stadium, London
Sun, May 17, 2026
1 - 0
03:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Cook J. In: Tiensia J.
Out: Cook J.
60'
Sub
Coker O. In: Appiah-Forson K.
Out: Coker O.
60'
Sub
Goodliffe B. In: Gubbins J.
Out: Goodliffe B.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Southend advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Southend
20%
Draws
42%
Wealdstone
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Wealdstone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Southend come out ahead of Wealdstone on wins alone.
  • Wealdstone are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Southend have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Southend, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Southend Clean Sheet 15%
Wealdstone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southend Wealdstone
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.97 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 FA Trophy
Southend vs Wealdstone
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 National League
Southend vs Wealdstone
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 FA Cup
Wealdstone vs Southend
1:0
Sep 2, 2025 National League
Wealdstone vs Southend
3:2
Apr 26, 2025 National League
Southend vs Wealdstone
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southend 27 / 100
Wealdstone 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southend Wealdstone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wealdstone Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southend found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Wealdstone conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Southend has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Southend VS Wealdstone
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Southend

(Home)
15 Sept
Southend
3 : 1
Tamworth
12 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 2
Southend
05 Sept
Southend
3 : 2
Yeovil
31 Aug
Woking
1 : 1
Southend
28 Aug
Southend
1 : 3
Kidderminster
Page 1 of 6

Wealdstone

(Away)
15 Sept
Wealdstone
0 : 1
Halifax
12 Sept
Boston United
1 : 3
Wealdstone
08 Sept
Wealdstone
6 : 0
Stoke City U21
05 Sept
Wealdstone
1 : 4
Kidderminster
31 Aug
Sutton
0 : 2
Wealdstone
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Sudbury 2
Leiston 1
TBD -
Hereford -
Radcliffe -
TBD -
Bradford PA 2
Morpeth 1
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spennymoor -
TBD -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Buxton -
TBD -
TBD -
Southport -
Leek Town 3
Bromsgrove 0
TBD -
Scarborough Athletic -
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
Basingstoke 1
Dorchester 2
Brentwood 3
Welling 0
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Chesham -
TBD -
TBD -
Telford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Altrincham -
Yeovil -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torquay -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidstone -
Alvechurch 1
Worcester 0
Real Bedford 3
Ashford United 2
Redditch 1
Gainsborough 2
Alfreton -
TBD -
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oxford City -
TBD -
TBD -
Peterborough Sports -
Chester -
TBD -
Clitheroe 4
Stockton 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
Leatherhead 2
Canvey Island 1
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
King’s Lynn -
TBD -
Stanway Rovers 1
Harrow Borough 2
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelmsford -
Horsham FC -
TBD -
Farnham 3
Bishops Cleeve 2
Wimborne 1
Portchester 0
Waltham Abbey 0
Chatham 2
Plymouth Parkway 2
Poole Town 1
TBD -
Salisbury -
Harborough 4
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
TBD -
Enfield Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carlisle -
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastbourne Borough -
Bath City -
TBD -
Bracknell Town 1
Banbury 0
Southend -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
United of Manchester 1
Bamber Bridge 0
TBD -
Darlington FC -
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bedford -
TBD -
Anstey Nomads 4
Stratford 0
Chorley -
TBD -
TBD -
Worksop -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Spalding United 0
Corby 1
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Morecambe -
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
Sittingbourne 2
Cray Valley 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braintree -
Forest Green -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chippenham Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare -
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Billericay 0
Stortford 5
Wingate & Finchley 0
Cheshunt 1
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
Tilbury 1
Hadley 0
Merthyr Town -
TBD -
St. Albans 0
Hanwell Town 2
Tamworth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston United -
Leamington -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rochdale -
Ilkeston 3
St Ives Town 1
TBD -
Curzon Ashton -
Marine -
TBD -
Hyde 0
Stocksbridge 3
Slough Town -
TBD -
Gloucester City 1
Havant & Waterlooville 0
Tonbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Worthing FC -
Walton & Hersham 5
Hendon 1
TBD -
Farnborough -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brackley -
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Burgess Hill 1
Folkestone 4
TBD -
AFC Totton -
South Shields -
TBD -
Dunston 1
Hebburn Town 0
Macclesfield -
TBD -
Prescot Cables 2
Guiseley 1
1/64-finals
Sudbury 1
Hereford 5
Radcliffe 3
Bradford PA 2
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
Spennymoor 2
AFC Fylde 3
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Buxton 2
Southport 3
Leek Town 1
Scarborough Athletic 0
Dover Ath. 2
Dorchester 0
Brentwood 0
Hornchurch 1
Chesham 1
Telford 2
TBD -
Altrincham -
Yeovil -
TBD -
Torquay 0
Maidstone 2
Alvechurch 2
Real Bedford 1
Gainsborough 1
Alfreton 2
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
Oxford City 1
Peterborough Sports 2
Chester 0
Clitheroe 1
TBD -
York City -
Leatherhead 2
Hampton & Richmond 0
King’s Lynn 2
Harrow Borough 3
Hemel Hempstead 1
Chelmsford 0
Horsham FC 2
Farnham 0
Wimborne 0
Chatham 1
Plymouth Parkway 4
Salisbury 3
Harborough 3
Enfield Town 0
TBD -
Carlisle -
Dorking Wanderers 3
Eastbourne Borough 2
Bath City 2
Bracknell Town 1
Southend -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
Halifax -
TBD -
United of Manchester 3
Darlington FC 2
Hartlepool -
TBD -
Bedford 0
Anstey Nomads 1
Chorley 2
Worksop 3
Kidderminster 3
Corby 0
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
Morecambe -
Ebbsfleet 2
Sittingbourne 1
TBD -
Braintree -
Forest Green -
TBD -
Chippenham Town 0
Weston-super-Mare 1
Wealdstone -
TBD -
Stortford 1
Cheshunt 2
Dagenham & Red. 2
Tilbury 0
Merthyr Town 2
Hanwell Town 3
Tamworth -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston United -
Leamington 2
Maidenhead 0
TBD -
Rochdale -
Ilkeston 0
Curzon Ashton 1
Marine 2
Stocksbridge 0
Slough Town 1
Gloucester City 2
Tonbridge 0
Worthing FC 4
Walton & Hersham 2
Farnborough 1
TBD -
Sutton -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
Brackley -
Woking -
TBD -
Folkestone 1
AFC Totton 2
South Shields 6
Dunston 2
Macclesfield 1
Prescot Cables 0
1/32-finals
Hereford 2
Radcliffe 1
Solihull Moors 2
AFC Fylde 3
Eastleigh 2
Aldershot 1
Southport 3
Leek Town 1
Dover Ath. 1
Hornchurch 4
Telford 4
Altrincham 3
Yeovil 2
Maidstone 1
Alvechurch 3
Alfreton 2
Scunthorpe 5
Peterborough Sports 0
Clitheroe 2
York City 1
Leatherhead 3
Harrow Borough 2
Hemel Hempstead 0
Horsham FC 2
Chatham 3
Plymouth Parkway 0
Harborough 1
Carlisle 2
Dorking Wanderers 1
Bath City 2
Southend 4
Truro 0
Halifax 4
United of Manchester 0
Hartlepool 1
Anstey Nomads 2
Worksop 0
Kidderminster 1
Gateshead 0
Morecambe 3
Ebbsfleet 3
Braintree 1
Forest Green 4
Weston-super-Mare 0
Wealdstone 2
Cheshunt 1
Dagenham & Red. 3
Hanwell Town 1
Tamworth 2
Boston United 1
Leamington 0
Rochdale 1
Curzon Ashton 1
Marine 2
Gloucester City 4
Worthing FC 3
Walton & Hersham 4
Sutton 1
Boreham Wood 3
Brackley 4
Woking 2
AFC Totton 0
South Shields 0
Macclesfield 1
1/16-finals
Hereford 2
AFC Fylde 3
Eastleigh 0
Southport 2
Hornchurch 1
Telford 2
Yeovil 1
Alvechurch 0
Scunthorpe 3
Clitheroe 1
Leatherhead 2
Horsham FC 3
Chatham 1
Carlisle 0
Bath City 1
Southend 3
Halifax 4
Anstey Nomads 0
Kidderminster 6
Morecambe 2
Ebbsfleet 0
Forest Green 2
Wealdstone 1
Dagenham & Red. 0
Tamworth 2
Rochdale 1
Marine 2
Gloucester City 1
Walton & Hersham 1
Brackley 0
Woking 2
Macclesfield 1
1/8-finals
AFC Fylde 0
Southport 1
Telford 0
Yeovil 2
Scunthorpe 1
Horsham FC 2
Chatham 0
Southend 1
Halifax 1
Kidderminster 2
Forest Green 0
Wealdstone 3
Tamworth 0
Marine 1
Walton & Hersham 1
Woking 2
Quarter-finals
Southport 2
Yeovil 1
Horsham FC 1
Southend 2
Kidderminster 1
Wealdstone 2
Marine 1
Woking 0
Semi-finals
Southport 1
Southend 3
Wealdstone 1
Marine 0
Final
Southend 1
Wealdstone 0