Sport Picks
Match Events
25'
25'
Davies A.
Assist: Westbrooke Z.
45'
45'
Taylor H.
55'
55'
Sub
Spasov S. In: Walker S.
Out: Spasov S.
AI Match Summary
Southend in this National League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Southend.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Southend lately — more wins on the board than Yeovil.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Southend Clean Sheet 16%
Yeovil Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Southend | Yeovil |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 National League
Southend vs Yeovil
3:2
Mar 31, 2026 National League
Southend vs Yeovil
2:1
Nov 15, 2025 National League
Yeovil vs Southend
0:1
Mar 1, 2025 National League
Yeovil vs Southend
2:2
Nov 9, 2024 National League
Southend vs Yeovil
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Southend Compare
Top Goalscorer Oldaker D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Chambers-Parillon L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Yeovil Compare
Top Goalscorer Davies A.
1 Goals Assists Leader McCormick L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Southend 36 / 100
Yeovil 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Southend Yeovil
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Yeovil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Southend scored in 91% of their last 32 outings.
Yeovil has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Southend has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Southend VS Yeovil
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Southend
(Home) 05 Sept
Southend
3 : 2 Yeovil
31 Aug
Woking
1 : 1 Southend
28 Aug
Southend
1 : 3 Kidderminster
22 Aug
Solihull Moors
1 : 3 Southend
15 Aug
Southend
1 : 0 Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
Southend
3 : 2 Yeovil
28 Aug
Southend
1 : 3 Kidderminster
15 Aug
Southend
1 : 0 Scunthorpe
01 Aug
Southend
4 : 0 Aveley
25 Jul
Southend
1 : 2 Leyton Orient
Page 1 of 4
Yeovil
(Away) 05 Sept
Southend
3 : 2 Yeovil
31 Aug
Yeovil
3 : 2 Tamworth
28 Aug
Barrow
1 : 2 Yeovil
22 Aug
Yeovil
3 : 0 Gateshead
15 Aug
Yeovil
1 : 1 Carlisle
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Southend
3 : 2 Yeovil
28 Aug
Barrow
1 : 2 Yeovil
08 Aug
Scunthorpe
1 : 1 Yeovil
28 Jul
Farnham
1 : 1 Yeovil
25 Jul
Wycombe
3 : 2 Yeovil
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17:9 | 17 |
| 2 | Harrogate | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 3 | AFC Fylde | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17:10 | 14 |
| 4 | Kidderminster | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 14 |
| 5 | Southend | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:10 | 14 |
| 6 | Aldershot | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 14 |
| 7 | Forest Green | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 8 | Hornchurch | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 9 | Sutton | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 10 | Yeovil | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:12 | 11 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 12 | Carlisle | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 15:12 | 9 |
| 13 | Halifax | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12:10 | 9 |
| 14 | Hartlepool | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5:6 | 9 |
| 15 | Altrincham | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:13 | 9 |
| 16 | Worthing FC | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:14 | 8 |
| 17 | Wealdstone | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 18 | Scunthorpe | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:12 | 7 |
| 19 | Woking | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 7 |
| 20 | Boston United | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 7 |
| 21 | Barrow | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | 6 |
| 22 | Tamworth | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13:19 | 5 |
| 23 | Gateshead | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 24 | Solihull Moors | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7:19 | 1 |
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
