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Southern District vs North District

Hong Kong Hong Kong

FA Cup 2025/2026 Aberdeen Sports Ground, Hongkong
Southern District Logo

Southern District

1 - 3
FT
North District Logo

North District

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Vinicius M.
31'
Villalobos E.
32'
Song J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

North District in this FA Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Southern District
20%
Draws
40%
North District
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Southern District haven't matched North District's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans North District's way, sitting at 50%.
  • North District arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor North District, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Southern District Clean Sheet 10%
North District Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southern District North District
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 4 9
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.34 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Premier League
Southern District vs North District
2:2
Dec 21, 2025 FA Cup
Southern District vs North District
1:3
Nov 2, 2025 Premier League
North District vs Southern District
2:1
Apr 27, 2025 Premier League
North District vs Southern District
2:3
Feb 15, 2025 Premier League
Southern District vs North District
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southern District Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

North District Compare

Top Goalscorer Samuel Granada
1 Goals
Assists Leader Weverton Gudula
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southern District 22 / 100
North District 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southern District North District

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North District Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Southern District scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

North District has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Southern District stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Southern District VS North District
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Southern District

(Home)
12 Sept
Southern District
1 : 3
Kitchee
29 Aug
Southern District
2 : 1
Kowloon City
22 Aug
Southern District
3 : 2
Hong Kong FC
09 May
Southern District
2 : 2
Eastern District
03 May
Hong Kong FC
1 : 4
Southern District
Page 1 of 6

North District

(Away)
13 Sept
North District
5 : 0
Hong Kong Rangers
06 Sept
Shatin
0 : 5
North District
29 Aug
North District
0 : 0
Kitchee
23 Aug
North District
2 : 0
Tai Po
24 May
Eastern District
3 : 2
North District
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tai Po -
TBD -
TBD -
Kitchee -
Hong Kong Rangers -
TBD -
Lee Man Warriors 3
Kowloon City 0
Eastern AA -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastern District -
Hong Kong FC -
TBD -
Southern District 1
North District 3
Quarter-finals
Tai Po 2
Kitchee 1
Hong Kong Rangers 4
Lee Man Warriors 3
Eastern AA 0
Eastern District 1
Hong Kong FC 1
North District 3
Semi-finals
Tai Po 2
Hong Kong Rangers 0
Eastern District 3
North District 2
Final
Tai Po 2
Eastern District 1