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Southern United vs Canterbury Prediction & H2H Stats

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
King G.
60' Event
Ledwith D.
85' Event
Cromb A.

AI Match Summary

The Football Championship 2019/2020 game between Southern United and Canterbury finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Southern United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Southern United
20%
Draws
40%
Canterbury
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Canterbury come out ahead of Southern United on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Southern United's way, sitting at 42%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Football Championship 2019/2020 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Canterbury here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Southern United Clean Sheet 20%
Canterbury Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southern United Canterbury
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.46 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.18 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2020 Football Championship
Southern United vs Canterbury
2:1
Nov 10, 2019 Football Championship
Canterbury vs Southern United
2:1
Dec 16, 2018 Football Championship
Southern United vs Canterbury
0:1
Oct 21, 2018 Football Championship
Canterbury vs Southern United
1:0
Feb 4, 2018 Football Championship
Canterbury vs Southern United
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southern United Compare

Top Goalscorer Ledwith D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cromb A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Canterbury Compare

Top Goalscorer King G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.37

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southern United 42 / 100
Canterbury 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southern United Canterbury

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southern United found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Canterbury conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Southern United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Southern United VS Canterbury
0 Goals Scored 1
0.33 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Southern United

(Home)
14 Mar
Southern United
0 : 1
Team Wellington
29 Feb
Hawke s Bay
3 : 4
Southern United
15 Feb
Southern United
2 : 1
Waitakere United
08 Feb
Hamilton
1 : 1
Southern United
01 Feb
Eastern Suburbs
6 : 0
Southern United
Page 1 of 6

Canterbury

(Away)
27 Feb
Canterbury
5 : 1
Wellington Phoenix 2
20 Feb
Canterbury
0 : 2
Team Wellington
14 Feb
Auckland City
2 : 0
Canterbury
06 Feb
Canterbury
2 : 1
Hawke s Bay
31 Jan
Hamilton
1 : 1
Canterbury
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 16 11 4 1 42:15 37
2 Team Wellington 16 10 4 2 36:15 34
3 Waitakere United 16 8 3 5 35:32 27
4 Eastern Suburbs 16 6 4 6 33:26 22
5 Tasman United 16 6 2 8 27:26 20
6 Hamilton 16 6 2 8 24:39 20
7 Southern United 16 5 4 7 25:38 19
8 Wellington Phoenix 2 16 4 6 6 30:32 18
9 Hawke s Bay 16 4 3 9 32:44 15
10 Canterbury 16 2 4 10 19:36 10
Promotion - Football Championship 2019/2020 (Play Offs)