Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Southern United vs Eastern Suburbs Prediction & H2H Stats

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Drake R.
25' Event
Bueno M.
47' Event
Hoyle S.

AI Match Summary

The Football Championship 2019/2020 game between Southern United and Eastern Suburbs finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eastern Suburbs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Southern United
20%
Draws
40%
Eastern Suburbs
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Eastern Suburbs carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Southern United taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Eastern Suburbs here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Southern United Clean Sheet 10%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southern United Eastern Suburbs
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 8 16
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.46 2
Goals Conceded 2.18 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 2.12
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2020 Football Championship
Eastern Suburbs vs Southern United
6:0
Nov 16, 2019 Football Championship
Southern United vs Eastern Suburbs
2:4
Mar 16, 2019 Football Championship
Eastern Suburbs vs Southern United
3:0
Jan 6, 2019 Football Championship
Southern United vs Eastern Suburbs
1:6
Jan 6, 2018 Football Championship
Eastern Suburbs vs Southern United
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southern United Compare

Top Goalscorer Brook C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Eastern Suburbs Compare

Top Goalscorer Drake R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bueno M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.93
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southern United 40 / 100
Eastern Suburbs 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southern United Eastern Suburbs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Southern United scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Eastern Suburbs conceded in 70% of 33 recent games.

Southern United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Eastern Suburbs
0 Goals Scored 3.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Southern United

(Home)
14 Mar
Southern United
0 : 1
Team Wellington
29 Feb
Hawke s Bay
3 : 4
Southern United
15 Feb
Southern United
2 : 1
Waitakere United
08 Feb
Hamilton
1 : 1
Southern United
01 Feb
Eastern Suburbs
6 : 0
Southern United
Page 1 of 6

Eastern Suburbs

(Away)
26 Sept
Ferrymead Bays
0 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 2
Wellington Olympic
26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2
Eastern Suburbs
05 Jul
Manukau United
1 : 3
Eastern Suburbs
24 Nov
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 2
Western Suburbs
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 16 11 4 1 42:15 37
2 Team Wellington 16 10 4 2 36:15 34
3 Waitakere United 16 8 3 5 35:32 27
4 Eastern Suburbs 16 6 4 6 33:26 22
5 Tasman United 16 6 2 8 27:26 20
6 Hamilton 16 6 2 8 24:39 20
7 Southern United 16 5 4 7 25:38 19
8 Wellington Phoenix 2 16 4 6 6 30:32 18
9 Hawke s Bay 16 4 3 9 32:44 15
10 Canterbury 16 2 4 10 19:36 10
Promotion - Football Championship 2019/2020 (Play Offs)