Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Southern United vs Hawke s Bay

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Southern United play Hawke s Bay in the Football Championship 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Southern United averaged 0 goals scored and 0.33 conceded. Hawke s Bay averaged 0.5 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. In past meetings, Southern United won 2, Hawke s Bay won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 29, 2020 ended 3:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.73 for Southern United and 0.42 for Hawke s Bay. This points to a Southern United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Southern United
17%
Draws
13%
Hawke s Bay
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Southern United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Hawke s Bay demonstrates higher offensive output (0.5 avg goals) than Southern United (0 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Southern United.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Football Championship 2018/2019 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Southern United Clean Sheet 20%
Hawke s Bay Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southern United Hawke s Bay
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 0 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.33 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.33 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 29, 2020 Football Championship
Hawke s Bay vs Southern United
3:4
Dec 7, 2019 Football Championship
Southern United vs Hawke s Bay
2:2
Mar 9, 2019 Football Championship
Southern United vs Hawke s Bay
2:2
Dec 9, 2018 Football Championship
Hawke s Bay vs Southern United
3:2
Mar 17, 2018 Football Championship
Hawke s Bay vs Southern United
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southern United Compare

Top Goalscorer Soromon A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coughlan G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Hawke s Bay Compare

Top Goalscorer Oliveri M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southern United 67 / 100
Hawke s Bay 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southern United Hawke s Bay

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southern United scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Hawke s Bay let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Southern United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Hawke s Bay lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Southern United VS Hawke s Bay
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0.33 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland City18171046:1852
2Eastern Suburbs18131453:1640
3Canterbury18104434:2934
4Team Wellington18104443:2534
5Southern United1865724:3023
6Hamilton18521134:4417
7Hawke s Bay1845938:5517
8Tasman United18351022:3614
9Waitakere United18411329:4613
10Wellington Phoenix 218321322:4611