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Southern United vs Manawatu

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2012/2013
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Southern United play Manawatu in the Football Championship 2012/2013. Southern United are favorites here. Recently, Southern United averaged 2 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. Manawatu averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, Southern United won 3, Manawatu won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 13, 2013 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Southern United and 1.63 for Manawatu. This points to a Southern United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Southern United
6%
Draws
4%
Manawatu
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Southern United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Southern United has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Manawatu.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Southern United.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Football Championship 2012/2013 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Southern United Clean Sheet 14%
Manawatu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southern United Manawatu
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 2
Draws 9 3
Losses 13 25
Goals Scored 2 0
Goals Conceded 2.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2013 Football Championship
Manawatu vs Southern United
1:4
Nov 3, 2012 Football Championship
Southern United vs Manawatu
0:3
Feb 4, 2012 Football Championship
Southern United vs Manawatu
2:2
Nov 12, 2011 Football Championship
Manawatu vs Southern United
2:3
Feb 12, 2011 Football Championship
Southern United vs Manawatu
4:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southern United 84 / 100
Manawatu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southern United Manawatu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southern United scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Manawatu let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Southern United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Manawatu lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Southern United VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Waitakere United14121148:1237
2Auckland City14103144:1833
3Canterbury1491434:1928
4Hawke s Bay1473429:2124
5Team Wellington1470727:2121
6WaiBOP United14301118:489
7Southern United14201214:406
8Manawatu14201215:506