Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Southern United W vs Waterside Karori W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Waterside Karori W in this National League Women matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Waterside Karori W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Southern United W
15%
Draws
42%
Waterside Karori W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Southern United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Southern United W have won more games recently than Waterside Karori W.
  • Win probability leans Waterside Karori W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular National League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Southern United W Clean Sheet 20%
Waterside Karori W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southern United W Waterside Karori W
Matches Played 28 24
Wins 13 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.93 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2024 National League Women
Southern United W vs Waterside Karori W
2:0
Nov 3, 2023 National League Women
Southern United W vs Waterside Karori W
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southern United W 10 / 100
Waterside Karori W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southern United W Waterside Karori W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Waterside Karori W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Waterside Karori W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 24 matches.

Attacking prowess: Southern United W scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Waterside Karori W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Southern United W VS Waterside Karori W
2.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Southern United W

(Home)
04 Oct
Southern United W
0 : 3
Fencibles W
26 Sept
Auckland United W
5 : 0
Southern United W
23 Nov
Southern United W
0 : 7
Western Springs W
15 Nov
Auckland United W
2 : 0
Southern United W
08 Nov
Southern United W
7 : 0
Central Football W
Page 1 of 6

Waterside Karori W

(Away)
03 Oct
West Coast Rangers W
1 : 2
Waterside Karori W
26 Sept
Waterside Karori W
0 : 1
Fencibles W
05 Jul
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
4 : 0
Waterside Karori W
05 Jul
Waterside Karori W
1 : 4
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
01 Dec
Auckland United W
3 : 1
Waterside Karori W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eastern Suburbs W 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Auckland United W 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
3 Fencibles W 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
4 Waterside Karori W 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
5 Wellington Phoenix 2 W 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
6 Wellington United W 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
7 Canterbury United W 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
8 West Coast Rangers W 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
9 Southern United W 2 0 0 2 0:8 0
Promotion - National League Women (Play Offs)