Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Southern United W vs Western Springs W

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Cunningham-Lee B.
34' Event
Cunningham-Lee B.
45' Event
Ollington M.

AI Match Summary

The National League Women game between Southern United W and Western Springs W finished 0-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Western Springs W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Southern United W
33%
Draws
27%
Western Springs W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Southern United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Western Springs W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Southern United W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular National League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Southern United W Clean Sheet 10%
Western Springs W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southern United W Western Springs W
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 15 17
Draws 5 3
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 2.75 3.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2025 National League Women
Southern United W vs Western Springs W
0:7
Oct 12, 2024 National League Women
Western Springs W vs Southern United W
2:1
Oct 7, 2023 National League Women
Southern United W vs Western Springs W
3:2
Nov 4, 2022 National League Women
Southern United W vs Western Springs W
1:1
Sep 18, 2022 National League Women
Western Springs W vs Southern United W
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southern United W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Western Springs W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cunningham-Lee B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ollington M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southern United W 38 / 100
Western Springs W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southern United W Western Springs W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Southern United W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Western Springs W let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Western Springs W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Southern United W VS Western Springs W
2.75 Goals Scored 3.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Southern United W

(Home)
23 Nov
Southern United W
0 : 7
Western Springs W
15 Nov
Auckland United W
2 : 0
Southern United W
08 Nov
Southern United W
7 : 0
Central Football W
01 Nov
Eastern Suburbs W
2 : 0
Southern United W
25 Oct
Southern United W
4 : 0
Canterbury United W
Page 1 of 7

Western Springs W

(Away)
04 Jul
Ellerslie W
2 : 1
Western Springs W
23 Nov
Southern United W
0 : 7
Western Springs W
15 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
3 : 2
Western Springs W
09 Nov
Western Springs W
0 : 2
Auckland United W
31 Oct
West Coast Rangers W
2 : 1
Western Springs W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland United W971131:322
2Eastern Suburbs W962130:620
3Wellington United W961239:1419
4West Coast Rangers W952218:717
5Southern United W941420:1513
6Western Springs W940531:1712
7Wellington Phoenix 2 W932419:2411
8Canterbury United W931517:3210
9Petone W92076:246
10Central Football W90090:690
Promotion - National League Women (Play Offs)