Sport Picks
Match Events
68'
68'
Skinner A.
(Penalty)
88'
88'
Perritt H.
AI Match Summary
The National League North game between Southport and Hereford finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hereford.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hereford
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Southport carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Hereford a 57% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Southport Clean Sheet 10%
Hereford Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Southport | Hereford |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 31, 2026 National League North
Southport vs Hereford
0:1
Feb 14, 2026 National League North
Southport vs Hereford
5:1
Nov 8, 2025 National League North
Hereford vs Southport
1:2
Jan 18, 2025 National League North
Hereford vs Southport
1:1
Aug 24, 2024 National League North
Southport vs Hereford
1:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Southport 10 / 100
Hereford 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Southport Hereford
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hereford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Southport scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Hereford has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Southport has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Southport VS Hereford
1.13 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Southport
(Home) 26 Sept
Southport
2 : 2 Spennymoor
19 Sept
Morecambe
2 : 0 Southport
12 Sept
Worksop
2 : 0 Southport
08 Sept
Southport
2 : 1 Morecambe
05 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 0 Southport
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Southport
2 : 2 Spennymoor
08 Sept
Southport
2 : 1 Morecambe
31 Aug
Southport
0 : 1 Hereford
22 Aug
Southport
4 : 1 Bedford
15 Aug
Southport
1 : 1 Buxton
Page 1 of 4
Hereford
(Away) 26 Sept
Bedford
1 : 1 Hereford
19 Sept
Stafford
3 : 2 Hereford
12 Sept
Hereford
6 : 0 South Shields
08 Sept
Harborough
0 : 3 Hereford
05 Sept
Hereford
2 : 1 Spennymoor
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Bedford
1 : 1 Hereford
19 Sept
Stafford
3 : 2 Hereford
08 Sept
Harborough
0 : 3 Hereford
31 Aug
Southport
0 : 1 Hereford
22 Aug
Worksop
0 : 3 Hereford
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 23 |
| 2 | Macclesfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:7 | 20 |
| 4 | South Shields | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Hebburn Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:16 | 18 |
| 6 | Spalding United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Chester | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 8 | King’s Lynn | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 9 | Buxton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Bedford | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 16 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 12 | Chorley | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Merthyr Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 14 | Scarborough Athletic | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 15 | Hednesford | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 12 |
| 16 | Marine | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 17 | Harborough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 18 | Worksop | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10:16 | 12 |
| 19 | Brackley | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | 12 |
| 20 | Southport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 21 | Telford | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | 9 |
| 22 | Darlington FC | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:21 | 7 |
| 23 | Spennymoor | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 24 | Radcliffe | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9:20 | 6 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
