Sport Picks
Match Events
25'
25'
Moseley A.
81'
81'
Newby E.
84'
84'
Ogwuru D.
AI Match Summary
The National League North game between Southport and Morecambe finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Southport.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Morecambe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Morecambe haven't matched Southport's recent run of results.
- Morecambe are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Southport Clean Sheet 15%
Morecambe Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Southport | Morecambe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 FA Cup
Morecambe vs Southport
2:0
Sep 8, 2026 National League North
Southport vs Morecambe
2:1
Jul 30, 2024 Club Friendly
Southport vs Morecambe
0:0
Jul 18, 2023 Club Friendly
Southport vs Morecambe
1:3
Jul 30, 2011 Club Friendly
Southport vs Morecambe
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Southport Compare
Top Goalscorer Moseley A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ogwuru D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Morecambe Compare
Top Goalscorer Newby E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Southport 10 / 100
Morecambe 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Southport Morecambe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Morecambe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Southport scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Morecambe has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Southport went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Southport VS Morecambe
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Southport
(Home) 26 Sept
Southport
2 : 2 Spennymoor
19 Sept
Morecambe
2 : 0 Southport
12 Sept
Worksop
2 : 0 Southport
08 Sept
Southport
2 : 1 Morecambe
05 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 0 Southport
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Southport
2 : 2 Spennymoor
08 Sept
Southport
2 : 1 Morecambe
31 Aug
Southport
0 : 1 Hereford
22 Aug
Southport
4 : 1 Bedford
15 Aug
Southport
1 : 1 Buxton
Page 1 of 4
Morecambe
(Away) 26 Sept
Oxford City
1 : 1 Morecambe
19 Sept
Morecambe
2 : 0 Southport
12 Sept
Morecambe
3 : 0 Brackley
08 Sept
Southport
2 : 1 Morecambe
05 Sept
Morecambe
4 : 0 Buxton
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Oxford City
1 : 1 Morecambe
08 Sept
Southport
2 : 1 Morecambe
31 Aug
Chester
0 : 1 Morecambe
22 Aug
Radcliffe
2 : 1 Morecambe
15 Aug
Harborough
1 : 0 Morecambe
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 23 |
| 2 | Macclesfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:7 | 20 |
| 4 | South Shields | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Hebburn Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:16 | 18 |
| 6 | Spalding United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Chester | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 8 | King’s Lynn | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 9 | Buxton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Bedford | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 16 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 12 | Chorley | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Merthyr Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 14 | Scarborough Athletic | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 15 | Hednesford | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 12 |
| 16 | Marine | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 17 | Harborough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 18 | Worksop | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10:16 | 12 |
| 19 | Brackley | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | 12 |
| 20 | Southport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 21 | Telford | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | 9 |
| 22 | Darlington FC | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:21 | 7 |
| 23 | Spennymoor | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 24 | Radcliffe | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9:20 | 6 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
