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Southport vs United of Manchester - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Lavelle T.
56' Event
Burgess L.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Southport and United of Manchester finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Southport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Southport
20%
Draws
51%
United of Manchester
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: United of Manchester

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • United of Manchester haven't matched Southport's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Southport Clean Sheet 10%
United of Manchester Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southport United of Manchester
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.31 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Southport vs United of Manchester
2:0
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Southport vs United of Manchester
1:1
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Southport vs United of Manchester
2:1
Feb 23, 2019 National League North
Southport vs United of Manchester
0:0
Sep 8, 2018 National League North
United of Manchester vs Southport
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southport Compare

Top Goalscorer Lavelle T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Burgess L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

United of Manchester Compare

Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southport 30 / 100
United of Manchester 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southport United of Manchester

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick United of Manchester Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

United of Manchester has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Southport scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Southport remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Southport VS United of Manchester
0.63 Goals Scored 2.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Southport

(Home)
10 Oct
Harborough
1 : 0
Southport
26 Sept
Southport
2 : 2
Spennymoor
19 Sept
Morecambe
2 : 0
Southport
12 Sept
Worksop
2 : 0
Southport
08 Sept
Southport
2 : 1
Morecambe
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United of Manchester

(Away)
10 Oct
Stockton
2 : 2
United of Manchester
06 Oct
Alfreton
1 : 0
United of Manchester
03 Oct
Worksop
0 : 3
United of Manchester
26 Sept
Hyde
2 : 0
United of Manchester
19 Sept
United of Manchester
4 : 1
Ossett United
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