Sport Picks

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Sovotours vs US de Moursal

Chad Chad

Premiere Division
Fri, Feb 20, 2026
3 - 0
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sovotours host US de Moursal in the Premiere Division. Sovotours go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Sovotours at 1.54 goals for, 0.85 against; US de Moursal at 1.26 for, 2.22 against. Head-to-head, Sovotours have won 2 to US de Moursal's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 20, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 1.19, favoring Sovotours. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Sovotours
20%
Draws
22%
US de Moursal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sovotours

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Sovotours have won more games recently than US de Moursal.
  • Sovotours are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sovotours Clean Sheet 20%
US de Moursal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sovotours US de Moursal
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 14 7
Draws 7 3
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 1.54 1.26
Goals Conceded 0.85 2.22
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Premiere Division
Sovotours vs US de Moursal
3:0
Jan 9, 2026 Premiere Division
US de Moursal vs Sovotours
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sovotours 76 / 100
US de Moursal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sovotours US de Moursal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sovotours Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: US de Moursal conceded in 89% of 27 recent games.

Sovotours scored in 77% of their last 26 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Sovotours has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sovotours VS US de Moursal
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sovotours

(Home)
28 Apr
Galactik
1 : 1
Sovotours
21 Apr
Sovotours
1 : 0
Emat
15 Apr
As Dgssie
0 : 3
Sovotours
07 Apr
Sovotours
1 : 1
CotonTchad
01 Apr
Sovotours
0 : 1
Foullah Edifice
Page 1 of 6

US de Moursal

(Away)
29 Apr
US de Moursal
1 : 2
Colombe
20 Apr
Fehra
1 : 4
US de Moursal
13 Apr
US de Moursal
0 : 3
Gazelle
07 Apr
Renaissance
3 : 1
US de Moursal
30 Mar
CotonTchad
2 : 1
US de Moursal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Foullah Edifice 25 19 2 4 54:20 59
2 Yves 26 16 3 7 46:22 51
3 Sovotours 26 14 7 5 40:22 49
4 Renaissance 26 14 6 6 56:34 48
5 Stars J. Talents 25 13 4 8 44:39 43
6 Emat 26 12 4 10 37:25 40
7 Gazelle 26 11 5 10 38:38 38
8 Colombe 26 11 4 11 30:31 37
9 Galactik 26 7 10 9 37:38 31
10 As Dgssie 26 8 6 12 33:42 30
11 CotonTchad 26 6 5 15 30:53 23
12 Fehra 26 5 7 14 29:47 22
13 US de Moursal 26 6 3 17 32:60 21
14 Tourbillon 26 4 4 18 19:54 16
Relegation - Premiere Division (Relegation)