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Soy United vs Kabati

Kenya Kenya

Super League
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AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Soy United and Kabati finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Soy United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Soy United
30%
Draws
39%
Kabati
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kabati

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Soy United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Soy United Clean Sheet 20%
Kabati Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Soy United Kabati
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0.81 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.74 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Super League
Soy United vs Kabati
2:1
Dec 18, 2025 Super League
Kabati vs Soy United
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Soy United 36 / 100
Kabati 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Soy United Kabati

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kabati Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kabati has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Soy United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Soy United found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Soy United VS Kabati
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Soy United

(Home)
13 Jun
Luanda Villa
0 : 1
Soy United
07 Jun
Soy United
0 : 0
MOFA
01 Jun
Equity Bank
1 : 0
Soy United
28 May
Soy United
0 : 0
Kisumu All-Stars
24 May
Soy United
2 : 1
Kabati
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Kabati

(Away)
13 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kabati
07 Jun
Kabati
2 : 1
Naivas FC
01 Jun
Nairobi City Stars
1 : 2
Kabati
28 May
Kabati
5 : 0
Luanda Villa
24 May
Soy United
2 : 1
Kabati
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Migori 38 25 6 7 57:29 81
2 3K FC 38 23 8 7 62:26 77
3 Mombasa United 38 24 4 10 51:32 76
4 Equity Bank 38 21 11 6 56:28 74
5 MOFA 38 16 16 6 51:30 64
6 Fortune Sacco 38 18 9 11 61:41 63
7 Naivas FC 38 17 10 11 47:30 61
8 Talanta FC 38 16 9 13 53:41 57
9 Kibera 38 15 8 15 32:33 53
10 Soy United 38 14 10 14 31:27 52
11 Nzoia Sugar 38 12 14 12 37:36 50
12 Gucha Stars 38 12 8 18 35:41 44
13 Luanda Villa 38 12 7 19 30:51 43
14 Kabati 38 10 9 19 32:52 39
15 Kisumu All-Stars 38 10 9 19 23:47 39
16 Nairobi City Stars 38 9 12 17 32:44 39
17 Darajani Gogo 38 10 8 20 27:48 38
18 MCF 38 9 10 19 24:42 34
19 Vihiga United 38 9 9 20 29:55 30
20 Mwatate United 38 6 7 25 27:64 25
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)
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