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Sozopol vs Chirpan

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2010/2011 game between Sozopol and Chirpan finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sozopol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sozopol
15%
Draws
0%
Chirpan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sozopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sozopol come out ahead of Chirpan on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sozopol's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sozopol here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Sozopol Clean Sheet 20%
Chirpan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sozopol Chirpan
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 3
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 24
Goals Scored 1.55 0.4
Goals Conceded 0.9 2.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2012 Third League - South-East
Sozopol vs Chirpan
3:0
Nov 2, 2011 Third League - South-East
Chirpan vs Sozopol
0:1
Jun 5, 2011 Third League - South-East
Sozopol vs Chirpan
4:1
Nov 28, 2010 Third League - South-East
Chirpan vs Sozopol
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sozopol 85 / 100
Chirpan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sozopol Chirpan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sozopol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chirpan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Chirpan's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Sozopol scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sozopol VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sozopol

(Home)
05 Sept
Atletik Kuklen
1 : 0
Sozopol
29 Aug
Sozopol
3 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
22 Aug
Levski Karlovo
1 : 4
Sozopol
15 Aug
Sozopol
0 : 2
Rodopa Smolyan
08 Aug
Spartak Plovdiv
4 : 3
Sozopol
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Chirpan

(Away)
02 Jun
Chirpan
0 : 3
Rakovski 2011
27 May
Hebros
3 : 0
Chirpan
19 May
Chirpan
0 : 3
Levski Karlovo
13 May
Chirpan
0 : 3
Dimitrovgrad
05 May
Sozopol
3 : 0
Chirpan
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