Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sozopol vs Dimitrovgrad Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sozopol in this Third League - South-East matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sozopol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Sozopol
20%
Draws
23%
Dimitrovgrad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sozopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Sozopol have won more games recently than Dimitrovgrad.
  • Win probability leans Sozopol's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Third League - South-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Sozopol Clean Sheet 15%
Dimitrovgrad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sozopol Dimitrovgrad
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 5 2
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.54 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.07 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Third League - South-East
Sozopol vs Dimitrovgrad
3:1
May 2, 2026 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Sozopol
3:2
Oct 25, 2025 Third League - South-East
Sozopol vs Dimitrovgrad
5:0
May 17, 2025 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Sozopol
2:0
Nov 16, 2024 Third League - South-East
Sozopol vs Dimitrovgrad
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sozopol 57 / 100
Dimitrovgrad 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sozopol Dimitrovgrad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sozopol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dimitrovgrad conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Sozopol's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Sozopol has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sozopol VS Dimitrovgrad
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sozopol

(Home)
26 Sept
Sozopol
3 : 2
Sekirovo Rakovski
18 Sept
Botev II
0 : 0
Sozopol
12 Sept
Sozopol
4 : 2
Neftochimic Burgas
05 Sept
Atletik Kuklen
1 : 0
Sozopol
29 Aug
Sozopol
3 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
Page 1 of 6

Dimitrovgrad

(Away)
26 Sept
Rozova Dolina
2 : 2
Dimitrovgrad
19 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
0 : 3
OFC Haskovo
12 Sept
Yambol 1915
2 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0
Zagorets
29 Aug
Sozopol
3 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krumovgrad 8 8 0 0 26:7 24
2 Spartak Plovdiv 8 7 0 1 20:10 21
3 Maritsa Milevo 8 6 0 2 17:9 18
4 OFC Haskovo 8 5 2 1 15:6 17
5 Yambol 1915 8 5 1 2 24:9 16
6 Sozopol 8 4 1 3 17:13 13
7 Gigant Saedinenie 8 4 1 3 17:14 13
8 Neftochimic Burgas 8 4 1 3 15:12 13
9 Rodopa Smolyan 8 3 2 3 13:14 11
10 Rozova Dolina 8 2 5 1 11:10 11
11 Zagorets 8 3 1 4 10:15 10
12 Botev II 8 2 3 3 13:15 9
13 Dimitrovgrad 8 2 1 5 12:16 7
14 Lok. Plovdiv II 8 2 1 5 10:21 7
15 Atletik Kuklen 8 2 0 6 7:19 6
16 Sekirovo Rakovski 8 1 2 5 13:24 5
17 Levski Karlovo 8 1 0 7 5:19 3
18 Maritsa Plovdiv 8 0 1 7 5:17 1
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)