Sport Picks
Sozopol vs Maritsa Plovdiv
Bulgaria
Third League - South-East 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Sozopol in this Third League - South-East 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sozopol.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sozopol
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Sozopol have won more games recently than Maritsa Plovdiv.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Sozopol taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Sozopol Clean Sheet 16%
Maritsa Plovdiv Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sozopol | Maritsa Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 4, 2026 Third League - South-East
Sozopol vs Maritsa Plovdiv
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Sozopol
3:0
May 31, 2025 Third League - South-East
Sozopol vs Maritsa Plovdiv
0:4
Nov 30, 2024 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Sozopol
1:0
Mar 12, 2023 Vtora liga
Sozopol vs Maritsa Plovdiv
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sozopol 84 / 100
Maritsa Plovdiv 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sozopol Maritsa Plovdiv
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sozopol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Away concern: Maritsa Plovdiv has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Sozopol scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Maritsa Plovdiv conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Sozopol VS Maritsa Plovdiv
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sozopol
(Home) 18 Sept
Botev II
0 : 0 Sozopol
12 Sept
Sozopol
4 : 2 Neftochimic Burgas
05 Sept
Atletik Kuklen
1 : 0 Sozopol
29 Aug
Sozopol
3 : 1 Dimitrovgrad
22 Aug
Levski Karlovo
1 : 4 Sozopol
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Sozopol
4 : 2 Neftochimic Burgas
29 Aug
Sozopol
3 : 1 Dimitrovgrad
15 Aug
Sozopol
0 : 2 Rodopa Smolyan
27 May
Sozopol
4 : 1 Rakovski 2011
16 May
Sozopol
1 : 0 OFC Haskovo
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Maritsa Plovdiv
(Away) 19 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
5 : 3 Maritsa Plovdiv
12 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 2 Spartak Plovdiv
05 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 1 Gigant Saedinenie
29 Aug
Rozova Dolina
2 : 0 Maritsa Plovdiv
22 Aug
Maritsa Plovdiv
1 : 2 OFC Haskovo
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
5 : 3 Maritsa Plovdiv
29 Aug
Rozova Dolina
2 : 0 Maritsa Plovdiv
15 Aug
Yambol 1915
3 : 0 Maritsa Plovdiv
23 May
Spartak Plovdiv
3 : 1 Maritsa Plovdiv
16 May
Yambol 1915
1 : 1 Maritsa Plovdiv
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nesebar | 36 | 29 | 4 | 3 | 116:22 | 91 |
| 2 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 90:40 | 75 |
| 3 | Neftochimic Burgas | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 53:39 | 66 |
| 4 | Yambol 1915 | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 72:41 | 66 |
| 5 | Levski Karlovo | 36 | 20 | 5 | 11 | 64:53 | 65 |
| 6 | Maritsa Milevo | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 64:32 | 60 |
| 7 | Spartak Plovdiv | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 64:58 | 54 |
| 8 | Sozopol | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 50:38 | 54 |
| 9 | OFC Haskovo | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 52:48 | 52 |
| 10 | Zagorets | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 52:60 | 49 |
| 11 | Rozova Dolina | 36 | 14 | 6 | 16 | 45:52 | 48 |
| 12 | Gigant Saedinenie | 36 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 56:59 | 47 |
| 13 | Rodopa Smolyan | 36 | 14 | 4 | 18 | 51:70 | 46 |
| 14 | Atletik Kuklen | 36 | 13 | 3 | 20 | 43:78 | 42 |
| 15 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 30:53 | 35 |
| 16 | Dimitrovgrad | 36 | 10 | 5 | 21 | 42:82 | 35 |
| 17 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 44:53 | 33 |
| 18 | Rakovski 2011 | 36 | 8 | 3 | 25 | 46:94 | 27 |
| 19 | Asenovets | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 30:92 | 23 |
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