Sport Picks
Sozopol vs Neftochimic Burgas
Bulgaria
Third League - South-East 
AI Match Summary
Sozopol play Neftochimic Burgas in the Third League - South-East. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sozopol averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Neftochimic Burgas averaged 1.88 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. In past meetings, Sozopol won 1, Neftochimic Burgas won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Sozopol and 1.50 for Neftochimic Burgas. This points to a Neftochimic Burgas double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Neftochimic Burgas has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sozopol.
- Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Third League - South-East provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sozopol | Neftochimic Burgas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 18 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sozopol scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
Neftochimic Burgas let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Sozopol went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Neftochimic Burgas lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nesebar | 36 | 29 | 4 | 3 | 116:22 | 91 |
| 2 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 90:40 | 75 |
| 3 | Neftochimic Burgas | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 53:39 | 66 |
| 4 | Yambol 1915 | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 72:41 | 66 |
| 5 | Levski Karlovo | 36 | 20 | 5 | 11 | 64:53 | 65 |
| 6 | Maritsa Milevo | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 64:32 | 60 |
| 7 | Spartak Plovdiv | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 64:58 | 54 |
| 8 | Sozopol | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 50:38 | 54 |
| 9 | OFC Haskovo | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 52:48 | 52 |
| 10 | Zagorets | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 52:60 | 49 |
| 11 | Rozova Dolina | 36 | 14 | 6 | 16 | 45:52 | 48 |
| 12 | Gigant Saedinenie | 36 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 56:59 | 47 |
| 13 | Rodopa Smolyan | 36 | 14 | 4 | 18 | 51:70 | 46 |
| 14 | Atletik Kuklen | 36 | 13 | 3 | 20 | 43:78 | 42 |
| 15 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 30:53 | 35 |
| 16 | Dimitrovgrad | 36 | 10 | 5 | 21 | 42:82 | 35 |
| 17 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 44:53 | 33 |
| 18 | Rakovski 2011 | 36 | 8 | 3 | 25 | 46:94 | 27 |
| 19 | Asenovets | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 30:92 | 23 |