Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sozopol vs Neftochimic Burgas

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sozopol in this Third League - South-East matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sozopol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Sozopol
15%
Draws
40%
Neftochimic Burgas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sozopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Sozopol haven't matched Neftochimic Burgas's recent run of results.
  • Sozopol are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Third League - South-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Sozopol Clean Sheet 15%
Neftochimic Burgas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sozopol Neftochimic Burgas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.48 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Third League - South-East
Sozopol vs Neftochimic Burgas
4:2
May 9, 2026 Third League - South-East
Sozopol vs Neftochimic Burgas
1:3
Nov 1, 2025 Third League - South-East
Neftochimic Burgas vs Sozopol
0:0
Apr 16, 2022 Vtora liga
Sozopol vs Neftochimic Burgas
0:0
Oct 16, 2021 Vtora liga
Neftochimic Burgas vs Sozopol
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sozopol 75 / 100
Neftochimic Burgas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sozopol Neftochimic Burgas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sozopol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sozopol scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Sozopol has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Neftochimic Burgas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sozopol VS Neftochimic Burgas
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sozopol

(Home)
18 Sept
Botev II
0 : 0
Sozopol
12 Sept
Sozopol
4 : 2
Neftochimic Burgas
05 Sept
Atletik Kuklen
1 : 0
Sozopol
29 Aug
Sozopol
3 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
22 Aug
Levski Karlovo
1 : 4
Sozopol
Page 1 of 6

Neftochimic Burgas

(Away)
23 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
3 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv II
19 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0
Zagorets
12 Sept
Sozopol
4 : 2
Neftochimic Burgas
29 Aug
Krumovgrad
4 : 2
Neftochimic Burgas
22 Aug
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0
Maritsa Milevo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krumovgrad 7 7 0 0 24:7 21
2 Spartak Plovdiv 7 6 0 1 18:10 18
3 Yambol 1915 7 5 1 1 24:7 16
4 Maritsa Milevo 7 5 0 2 12:9 15
5 OFC Haskovo 7 4 2 1 13:6 14
6 Gigant Saedinenie 7 4 1 2 17:12 13
7 Rodopa Smolyan 7 3 2 2 13:12 11
8 Sozopol 7 3 1 3 14:11 10
9 Neftochimic Burgas 7 3 1 3 13:12 10
10 Rozova Dolina 7 2 4 1 9:8 10
11 Zagorets 7 3 1 3 10:12 10
12 Lok. Plovdiv II 7 2 1 4 10:16 7
13 Dimitrovgrad 7 2 0 5 10:14 6
14 Botev II 7 1 3 3 10:15 6
15 Atletik Kuklen 7 2 0 5 7:17 6
16 Sekirovo Rakovski 7 1 2 4 11:21 5
17 Maritsa Plovdiv 7 0 1 6 4:15 1
18 Levski Karlovo 7 0 0 7 3:18 0
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)